Senate control remains in play with Democrats and Republicans competing in multiple competitive races 16 days before the November 3 midterm elections
Polls
| National Generic View race View race ABC/Wash Post/Ipsos (n=2032 LV) | Democrats 52% · Republicans 44% |
| National Generic View race View race Change Research (n=2021 RV) | Democrats 46% · Republicans 39% |
| National Generic View race View race NBC News Decision Desk (n=17649 RV) | Democrats 55% · Republicans 45% |
| AR Governor View race View race Hendrix College (n=709 LV) | Fredrick Love 32% · Sarah Huckabee Sanders 51% |
| TX Governor View race View race CBS News/YouGov (n=1492 LV) | Gina Hinojosa 48% · Greg Abbott 52% |
| IA Senate View race View race Trafalgar Group (R) (n=1094 LV) | Josh Turek 44% · Ashley Hinson 46% |
| OH Senate View race View race ActiVote (n=400 LV) | Sherrod Brown 50% · Jon Husted 50% |
| SC Senate View race View race Trafalgar Group (R) (n=1095 LV) | Annie Andrews 46% · Darline Graham 49% |
Follow the Money
The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
Headlines
- Inside the quiet money pullback — for both parties — in Georgia’s Senate race (Politico)
Both Democratic and Republican campaigns are experiencing a notable pullback in spending in Georgia's Senate race, wi... - Michigan Dems Urged To 'Leave It Blank' To Stop El-Sayed (RealClearPolitics)
A campaign messaging strategy is emerging urging disaffected Democrats in Michigan's U.S. Senate race to leave their ... - Mass. GOP candidate for lieutenant governor suspends campaign after arrest, OUI charge (The Hill)
Shawn Oliver, the Republican running mate for Massachusetts gubernatorial candidate Michael Minogue, suspended his lieut...
What to Watch
4 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Nebraska, Nevada, and Oregon.
What to Watch
With no events scheduled on the calendar in the coming week, attention stays on the map itself. Several Senate contests rated Toss-up warrant close tracking, including Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Nebraska, Kansas, South Carolina, Texas, and Alaska. Any of these could tip the balance of the chamber, and shifts in ratings here will carry more weight than movement in races already labeled Likely or Lean.
House watchers should keep an eye on New York, where four districts — the 4th, 17th, 19th-adjacent 21st, and 3rd-area contests — carry multiple Toss-up ratings in a single state, a concentration unmatched elsewhere on the map. Pennsylvania's 8th District and Ohio's 7th and 9th Districts also remain unsettled, alongside Wisconsin's 1st and 3rd Districts.
Governor races remain in play across the Sun Belt and Mountain West, with Georgia, Nevada, Oregon, and Nebraska among the closest. Absent new polling or filings this week, these ratings represent the current baseline against which any movement should be measured.
New Polls (7)
Added to the Archive (1)
Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.
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