Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Love ✓ | 104,725 | 81.0% | |
| Supha Xayprasith-Mays | 24,520 | 19.0% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Rutledge | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Arkansas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Fredrick Love Nominee
Democrat
Sarah Huckabee Sanders Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanColt Shelby Nominee
LibertarianGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College In average | 2026-10-13 this poll | 709 LV | ±5.00 | Fredrick Love 32.00% | Sarah Huckabee Sanders 51.00% |
| All candidates (full ballot): Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 51% · Fredrick Love (D) 32% · Colt Shelby (L) 11% · Others 11% · Undecided 6% | |||||
| Hendrick College In average | 2026-08-12 this poll | 1217 LV | ±4.70 | Fredrick Love 40.00% | Sarah Huckabee Sanders 45.00% |
| All candidates (full ballot): Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 45% · Fredrick Love (D) 40% · Colt Shelby (L) 7% | |||||
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Arkansas governor's race?
Sarah Huckabee Sanders leads Fredrick Love 48% to 36% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+12.0 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Arkansas governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arkansas governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Hendrix College (completed October 13, 2026), found Fredrick Love (D) at 32% and Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) at 51%.
When is the 2026 Arkansas governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
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