Arkansas Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Fred Love ✓ 104,725 81.0%
Supha Xayprasith-Mays 24,520 19.0%
100% reporting

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Leslie Rutledge ✓ — —

Full calendar and every race: Arkansas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Polls
1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Fredrick Love

Fredrick Love Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
40.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
R+5.0
Last Poll
Aug 12, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Hendrix College 2026-08-12 1217 LV ±4.70 Fredrick Love 40.00% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Arkansas governor's race?

Sarah Huckabee Sanders leads Fredrick Love 45% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+5.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 Arkansas governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arkansas governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Hendrix College (completed August 12, 2026), found Fredrick Love (D) at 40% and Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 Arkansas governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.