Exactly 6 states hold elections today, all falling on primary day: Wisconsin, Minnesota, South Carolina, Alabama, Vermont, and Connecticut. Wisconsin and Minnesota feature contested statewide primaries in governor and Senate races, while South Carolina's special primary is sorting out a crowded Republican field to fill a vacant Senate seat, with Alabama, Vermont, and Connecticut rounding out the ballot with House and statewide contests.

Wisconsin: Democrats Split Over Direction in Governor's Primary

Wisconsin's governor's race primary pits Francesca Hong, a Democratic Socialist state representative, against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes and Congresswoman Sara Rodriguez for the Democratic nomination, with Republican Tom Tiffany awaiting the winner. Polling from Marquette University shows Barnes leading Tiffany 47 to 42 percent in a hypothetical general matchup, while the same pollster has Rodriguez running closer to even, at 42 to 41. An RMG Research survey testing a third scenario shows Crowley — not on the ballot in the polls above but included in RMG's sampling — at 46 to Tiffany's 43, underscoring how fluid general-election matchups remain while the Democratic field is still unresolved.

Money in the race flows mostly through the state's House contests rather than the governor's race itself. Rebecca Cooke has raised $8.6 million with $1.83 million on hand, while Republican Derrick Van Orden has brought in $7.53 million and holds $4.68 million in reserve. Bryan Steil, also a Republican, has raised less overall — $5.47 million — but leads all House candidates in cash on hand with $6.33 million banked.

What to watch tonight is whether Hong's rise, fueled by attention from conservative media and left-leaning commentators alike, translates into actual votes against two more moderate rivals splitting the remaining electorate. A fractured Democratic field could let a plurality winner emerge without ever cracking 40 percent.

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Minnesota: Craig and Flanagan Test the Party's Ideological Divide

Minnesota's Senate primary has become a proxy fight over the Democratic Party's direction, with Representative Angie Craig, running as the moderate, facing Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan from the progressive lane. Bernie Sanders has called the race "tight" and said he hopes Flanagan prevails, a public nod that highlights how contested the primary is inside the party regardless of what happens in November. Both Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Lean Democratic, with Inside Elections in agreement, suggesting the general election is expected to favor Democrats regardless of which candidate wins tonight.

Craig has the financial edge in the primary, reporting $12.75 million raised with $3.57 million on hand, compared to Flanagan's $6.52 million raised and just over $1 million remaining. On the Republican side, Michele Tafoya has raised $5.29 million. Minnesota's 2nd District, where Craig currently serves, is rated Lean D and will be a seat to watch once the general election field is set.

Down-ballot, the state's 5th District Democratic primary features a crowded field running in the aftermath of Operation Metro Surge, a federal immigration enforcement effort that ran from December 2025 through February 2026 — a backdrop that has shaped candidate messaging heading into tonight's vote.

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South Carolina: A Fifth Debate Stage, Same Undecided Republican Field

South Carolina's special Senate primary to fill the seat left vacant by Lindsey Graham's death remains a wide-open Republican contest, with Russell Fry, Ralph Norman, Mark Sanford, and a businessman candidate having spent the past two weeks trading arguments across back-to-back televised debates. A Public Policy Polling survey, conducted for Democrats, showed Democrat Annie Andrews leading Fry 42 to 39 percent in a hypothetical general election — but Cook Political Report and Inside Elections both rate the seat Solid R, and Sabato's Crystal Ball calls it Safe R, meaning that head-to-head number carries little predictive weight against the state's underlying partisan lean.

Andrews has out-raised the entire Republican field, reporting $10.8 million in total receipts against $6.77 million for Graham and $5.92 million for fellow Republican Mark Lynch. In the 1st District, where Nancy Mace's retirement has been announced, Republicans Sam McCown and William Timmons have each reported over $1.59 million raised, while Democrat Nancy Lacore has brought in $2.28 million; the seat is rated Likely R.

Tonight's question in the Senate primary is less about who leads and more about whether any Republican clears the threshold needed to avoid a runoff in a field this fragmented, with local operatives already drawing comparisons between one candidate, Darline Graham, and a previous statewide candidate's underperformance in 2022.

Also on the ballot today: Alabama is voting in House primaries, Vermont is holding primaries for Senate, House, and governor, and Connecticut is voting in House and governor primaries.

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