Today's Source

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

← Oct 13 Oct 15 →

The most covered subject in today's stored headlines is IA Senate: 3 stories from 1 outlet. The top headline is "Hinson, Turek tangle in fierce final Iowa Senate debate" (The Hill).

Polls

National Generic View race View race
Cygnal (n=1500 LV)
Democrats 51% · Republicans 42%
National Generic View race View race
NewsNation (n=974 LV)
Democrats 49% · Republicans 42%
AZ Governor View race View race
Steve Cortes (n=1513 LV)
Katie Hobbs 48.9% · Andy Biggs 43.2%
AZ Governor View race View race
Wick (R) (n=1513 LV)
Katie Hobbs 49% · Andy Biggs 43%
AZ Governor View race View race
HighGround, Inc. (n=400 LV)
Katie Hobbs 51% · Andy Biggs 34%
CA Governor View race View race
SurveyUSA
Xavier Becerra 48% · Steve Hilton 35%
FL Governor View race View race
Stetson University (n=716 LV)
David Jolly 41% · Byron Donalds 52%
MN Governor View race View race
KARE 11/Minnesota Star Tribune (n=800 LV)
Amy Klobuchar 50% · Lisa Demuth 41%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

Continue reading →

What to Watch

3 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Nevada, and Texas.

Toss-Up Governor Races to Watch

Three governor contests remain unsettled headed into the final stretch: Georgia, Nevada, and Texas. Each is close enough that late movement in any direction could decide the outcome, and all three warrant daily tracking rather than a single pre-election snapshot.

House Battlegrounds Across Multiple States

The House map's competitive edge runs through California's 22nd and 47th districts, Ohio's 7th and 9th, New York's 17th and 21st, and Virginia's 2nd and 7th, all rated Toss-up. Pennsylvania's 8th and Michigan's 4th and 7th districts fall in the same category, meaning control of narrow margins could hinge on turnout patterns in exurban and swing-suburban seats rather than any single marquee race.

Senate Contests Still Undecided

Four Senate races carry a Toss-up rating: Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Nebraska. Nebraska and Alaska stand out as states where a Toss-up rating in a historically safer partisan environment signals unusual volatility worth monitoring as additional polling emerges this week.

Continue reading →

New Polls (22)

Florida Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 9, 2026 Stetson University n=716 LV · ±4.2 Angie Nixon 41% – Ashley Moody 52% R+11
North Carolina Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 11, 2026 SurveyUSA n=643 LV Roy Cooper 54% – Michael Whatley 40% D+14
Oct 7, 2026 Change Research (D) n=829 LV · ±3.7 Roy Cooper 50% – Michael Whatley 40% D+10
Texas Senate View race 3 polls
Oct 11, 2026 Marist University n=1,196 LV · ±4.9 James Talarico 47% – Ken Paxton 45% D+2
Oct 11, 2026 Quantus Insights n=854 LV · ±3.6 James Talarico 47% – Ken Paxton 47% Even
Oct 8, 2026 ReconMR/Siena University n=617 LV · ±4.4 James Talarico 48% – Ken Paxton 44% D+4
Arizona Governor View race 3 polls
Oct 8, 2026 HighGround, Inc. n=400 LV · ±4.9 Katie Hobbs 51% – Andy Biggs 34% D+17
Oct 6, 2026 Wick (R) n=1,513 LV · ±2.6 Katie Hobbs 49% – Andy Biggs 43% D+6
Oct 6, 2026 Steve Cortes n=1,513 LV · ±2.6 Katie Hobbs 48.9% – Andy Biggs 43.2% D+5.7
California Governor View race 1 poll
Sep 30, 2026 SurveyUSA Xavier Becerra 48% – Steve Hilton 35% D+13
Florida Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 9, 2026 Stetson University n=716 LV · ±4.2 David Jolly 41% – Byron Donalds 52% R+11
Minnesota Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 7, 2026 KARE 11/Minnesota Star Tribune n=800 LV · ±3.5 Amy Klobuchar 50% – Lisa Demuth 41% D+9
New York Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 12, 2026 Pollfinity Research n=499 RV · ±4.8 Kathy Hochul 47% – Bruce Blakeman 44% D+3
Rhode Island Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 11, 2026 Emerson College/WPRI-TV n=800 LV · ±3.5 Helena Foulkes 44% – Aaron Guckian 10% D+34
Texas Governor View race 3 polls
Oct 11, 2026 Marist University ±4.9 Gina Hinojosa 45% – Greg Abbott 49% R+4
Oct 8, 2026 ReconMR/Siena University n=617 LV · ±4.4 Gina Hinojosa 47% – Greg Abbott 48% R+1
Oct 8, 2026 GBAO (D) n=800 LV · ±3.5 Gina Hinojosa 47% – Greg Abbott 45% D+2
Georgia CD-07 View race 1 poll
Oct 9, 2026 20/20 Insight (D) n=457 LV · ±4.6 Anthony Kozycki 47% – Rich McCormick 45% D+2
Minnesota CD-01 View race 1 poll
Oct 9, 2026 SurveyUSA n=565 LV · ±4.6 Jake Johnson 46% – Brad Finstad 44% D+2
Nebraska CD-02 View race 1 poll
Oct 5, 2026 National Public Affairs n=800 LV · ±5 Denise Powell 50% – Brinker Harding 38% D+12
Generic View race 2 polls
Oct 10, 2026 Cygnal n=1,500 LV Democrats 51% – Republicans 42% D+9
Oct 9, 2026 NewsNation n=974 LV Democrats 49% – Republicans 42% D+7

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning