Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Villegas ✓ | 25,808 | 32.4% | |
| Jasmeet Bains | 21,458 | 26.9% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Valadao ✓ | 32,491 | 40.7% |
Full calendar and every race: California primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
David Valadao Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-06-21 | 800 | Randy Villegas 48.00% | David Valadao 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 CA-22 House race?
Randy Villegas leads David Valadao 48% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 CA-22 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 CA-22 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tulchin Research (completed June 21, 2026), found Randy Villegas (D) at 48% and David Valadao (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 CA-22 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $4,645,524
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $1,823,376
- 314 ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $1,348,200
- HEALTH CARE SAVES LIVES Mixed $1,241,178
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $1,230,588
- WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC Dem-aligned $964,617
- NATIONAL NURSES UNITED FOR PATIENT PROTECTION Dem-aligned $800,000
- NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY GOP-aligned $740,946
- BDA PAC GOP-aligned $600,000
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E Dem-aligned $578,900
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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