The Lead summary section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
Polls
| National Generic The Rainey Center | Democratic 48% · Republican 42% |
| National Generic Zogby | Democratic 48% · Republican 42% |
| National Generic RMG Research (n=2000 LV) | Democrats 52% · Republicans 46% |
| National Generic Napolitan | Democratic 52% · Republican 46% |
| AK Governor Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) (n=800 LV) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 40% · Bernadette Wilson 20% |
| AK Governor Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research (n=800 LV) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 55% · Bernadette Wilson 45% |
| AK Governor co/efficient (R) (n=799 LV) | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 43% · Bernadette Wilson 20% |
| FL Governor St. Pete Polls (n=913 LV) | David Jolly 43% · Byron Donalds 44% |
Follow the Money
Florida Senate: Weil's Cash Burn Stands Out in Toss-up Race
The Florida Senate race, rated a Toss-up, shows a stark contrast in cash management among its three fundraisers. Democrat Joshua Weil raised $15.9 million and spent every dollar of it, leaving zero cash on hand — a 100% burn rate that leaves him with no reserves heading into the stretch.
Republican Ashley Moody raised less overall, $11.3 million, but has spent only $2.8 million of it, banking $8.5 million in cash on hand. That gives her more than triple Weil's available cash despite the smaller haul, a disbursement rate of roughly 25% against Weil's full drawdown.
Democrat Angie Nixon raised just under $975,000, spending about $710,000 of it and retaining $265,000. Her burn rate, near 73%, sits between the other two candidates but on a fraction of their fundraising scale.
Headlines
The Headlines section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
What to Watch
Governors' Races to Watch
With no debates or filing deadlines on the calendar this week, attention stays on the underlying ratings in the ten governor contests PollingSource tracks most closely. Three sit at Toss-up or Lean status on either side: Florida is a Toss-up, as is Nevada, while Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and New Mexico each carry a Lean rating toward one party.
Georgia and Kansas lean Republican, while Arizona, Iowa, and New Mexico lean Democratic — narrow enough margins that any new polling this week could shift the picture. Michigan and Minnesota rate Likely D, and Nebraska rates Likely R, giving those three less room to move without a significant shift in the data.
Watch for fresh survey releases in the Toss-up states first — Florida and Nevada are the likeliest to reclassify if new numbers emerge — followed by any movement in the Lean-rated contests, where small polling shifts carry outsized weight on the ratings scale.
New Polls (26)
Added to the Archive (1)
Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.
Rating Changes
PollingSource Poll Average: Tennessee Governor N/A → Safe R
PollingSource Poll Average: Florida Senate N/A → Toss-up
PollingSource Poll Average: Georgia House CD-11 N/A → Likely R
PollingSource Poll Average: Nebraska Senate N/A → Lean R
PollingSource Poll Average: Minnesota Governor N/A → Likely D
PollingSource Poll Average: Minnesota Senate N/A → Toss-up
PollingSource Poll Average: New Hampshire Governor N/A → Safe R
PollingSource Poll Average: Ohio Senate N/A → Lean D
PollingSource Poll Average: Texas Governor N/A → Lean R
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