RMG Research partisan·R
48 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-12 | FL Governor | R+10.0 | R+19.4 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-12 | FL Senate | R+5.0 | R+16.4 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-12-11 | GA Senate | D+2.0 | D+1.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-12-11 | GA Senate | D+1.0 | D+2.1 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-11-21 | GA Senate | D+1.0 | D+1.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-11-21 | GA Senate | D+2.0 | D+2.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | National President | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-28 | MI Senate | D+9.0 | D+1.7 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | MI President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | TX Senate | R+6.0 | R+9.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | TX President | R+4.0 | R+5.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-26 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC Governor | D+12.0 | D+4.5 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC Senate | D+7.0 | R+1.8 | 8.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-23 | National President | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-21 | FL President | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | IA Senate | D+3.0 | R+6.6 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | IA President | Even | R+8.2 | 8.2 | — |
| 2020-10-17 | MT-1 House | Even | R+12.8 | 12.8 | — |
| 2020-10-17 | MT Governor | R+3.0 | R+12.9 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | MT Senate | R+2.0 | R+10.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | WI President | D+6.0 | D+0.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | MT President | R+4.0 | R+16.4 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-16 | AZ Senate | D+7.0 | D+2.4 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-16 | AZ President | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-16 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-14 | UT-4 House | R+1.0 | R+1.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-14 | UT Governor | R+24.0 | R+32.6 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-14 | UT President | R+12.0 | R+20.5 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | CO Senate | D+9.0 | D+9.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | CO President | D+8.0 | D+13.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | MI President | D+6.0 | D+2.8 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | NC Governor | D+14.0 | D+4.5 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | NC Senate | D+10.0 | R+1.8 | 11.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-09 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-09 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | FL President | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-02 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | National President | D+6.0 | D+4.4 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-18 | National President | D+6.0 | D+4.4 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-11 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.0 | D+3.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-11 | National President | D+5.0 | D+4.4 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-09 | UT-4 House | D+4.0 | R+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-09 | UT Governor | R+33.0 | R+32.6 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-09 | UT President | R+18.0 | R+20.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.