Today's Source

Saturday, October 17, 2026

← Oct 16 Oct 18 →

President Trump returns to Georgia to campaign for Republican candidates in the state's closely watched Senate race between Jon Ossoff and Mike Collins and governor's race between Rick Jackson and Keisha Lance Bottoms

Polls

National Generic View race View race
YouGov (n=1377 RV)
Democrats 46% · Republicans 40%
CT Governor View race View race
Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov
Ned Lamont 57% · Ryan Fazio 34%
SD Governor View race View race
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) (n=400 LV)
Dan Ahlers 38% · Larry Rhoden 48%
AK Senate View race View race
Public Policy Polling (D) (n=578 RV)
Mary Peltola 48% · Dan S. Sullivan 47%
AR Senate View race View race
Hendrix College (n=709 LV)
Hallie Shoffner 41% · Tom Cotton 50%
MI Senate View race View race
The Tyson Group (R) (n=600 LV)
Abdul El-Sayed 44% · Mike Rogers 46%
MI Senate View race View race
Rasmussen Reports (R) (n=798 LV)
Abdul El-Sayed 46% · Mike Rogers 44%
MI Senate View race View race
Rasmussen Reports (n=798 LV)
El-Sayed 46% · Rogers 44%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

Continue reading →

What to Watch

4 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Nevada, Oregon, and Texas.

Senate Battlegrounds Crowd the Map

No fewer than eight Senate races carry a Toss-up rating, including Ohio, Texas, Maine, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, South Carolina, and Alaska. With this many contests this tightly rated, control of the chamber likely hinges on how several of these break simultaneously rather than any single state.

Governors: Georgia, Nevada, Oregon and Texas Remain Unsettled

Among governor contests, Georgia's remains the marquee race given the state's dual role as a presidential battleground, while Texas, Nevada, and Oregon round out the most competitive contests still on the board.

House Races to Track

In the House, watch clusters in Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin, each hosting multiple Toss-up districts, alongside Arizona's 6th, Pennsylvania's 8th, and Virginia's 1st and 2nd. No single race stands out as decisive, but the aggregate of these districts will shape the chamber's majority math.

Continue reading →

New Polls (7)

Alaska Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 Public Policy Polling (D) n=578 RV Mary Peltola 48% – Dan S. Sullivan 47% D+1
Michigan Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 14, 2026 Rasmussen Reports (R) n=798 LV · ±3 Abdul El-Sayed 46% – Mike Rogers 44% D+2
Oct 8, 2026 The Tyson Group (R) n=600 LV Abdul El-Sayed 44% – Mike Rogers 46% R+2
Montana Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 12, 2026 Peak Insights (R) n=500 LV · ±4 Bankhead 12%–Bodnar (Ind) 29%–Alme 44% R+15.0
Connecticut Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 7, 2026 Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov Ned Lamont 57% – Ryan Fazio 34% D+23
South Dakota Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 8, 2026 Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) n=400 LV · ±4.9 Dan Ahlers 38% – Larry Rhoden 48% R+10
Alaska At-Large View race 1 poll
Oct 15, 2026 Public Policy Polling (D) n=578 RV Hafner 5%–Hill (Ind) 44%–Begich 45% R+1.0

Added to the Archive (2)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Sep 2026 Michigan Senate View race 1 poll added
Aug 2026 Generic View race 1 poll added

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning