This section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
Polls
| National Generic CNN | Democrats 47% · Republicans 39% |
| TX Governor Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) (n=1005 RV) | Gina Hinojosa 49% · Greg Abbott 50% |
| TX Governor FOX News (n=1006 RV) | Hinojosa 49% · Abbott 50% |
| TX Governor TPOR (n=1048 LV) | Hinojosa 42% · Abbott 45% |
| WI Governor RMG Research (n=800 RV) | David Crowley 46% · Tom Tiffany 43% |
| SC Senate Public Policy Polling (D) (n=577 V) | Annie Andrews 42% · Russell Fry 39% |
| TX Senate Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) (n=1005 RV) | James Talarico 51% · Ken Paxton 48% |
Follow the Money
Michigan Senate: Three-Way Fundraising Split
The Michigan Senate race produced the most crowded set of competitive filings this period. Democrat Haley Stevens reported $11.9 million in total receipts and $2.8 million cash on hand after $9.1 million in disbursements. Democrat Mallory McMorrow filed close behind with $11.4 million raised, but her burn rate left her with just $1.9 million on hand against $9.5 million spent. Republican Mike Rogers raised $10.9 million and retained $4.5 million in the bank, giving him the largest cash cushion of the three despite trailing both Democrats in total receipts.
Ohio and New Hampshire Senate: Incumbency-Scale Hauls
Sherrod Brown, a Democrat running in the Ohio Senate race, posted the largest fundraising total in this batch of filings at $38.6 million in total receipts, with $16.2 million still on hand after spending $22.3 million. In the New Hampshire Senate race, Democrat Chris Pappas raised $13.4 million and holds $5.2 million in cash after $8.6 million in disbursements. Both filings represent substantially larger sums than most other Senate campaigns in this reporting period.
House Filings: Vindman and McClain Delaney
In the Virginia 7th District, Democrat Eugene Vindman reported $12.4 million in total receipts and $6.6 million cash on hand, having spent $5.9 million. In Maryland, Democrat April McClain Delaney raised a similar $12.3 million in the Maryland 6th District race, but disbursements of $12 million left her with just $307,611 in the bank — the tightest cash position of any filing in this set.
Republican Senate Filings: Whatley, Ricketts, Rogers
On the Republican side, Michael Whatley in the North Carolina Senate race raised $11.3 million and holds $3.5 million on hand. Pete Ricketts, running in the Nebraska Senate race, raised $11.2 million and reported the strongest cash position among Republicans in this batch at $6.9 million, after spending just $4.8 million. Rogers' Michigan filing, detailed above, rounds out the Republican Senate reports for this period.
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What to Watch
🗳 Voting this week- Kansas primary — Tuesday, August 4 (in 4 days)
- Michigan primary — Tuesday, August 4 (in 4 days)
- Missouri primary — Tuesday, August 4 (in 4 days)
- Virginia primary — Tuesday, August 4 (in 4 days)
- Washington primary — Tuesday, August 4 (in 4 days)
- Tennessee primary — Thursday, August 6 (in 6 days)
Primary Season Kicks Into Gear
Six states hold primaries in the coming weeks: Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia, and Washington on August 4, followed by Tennessee on August 6. Each contest will set the general-election fields for Senate, House, and governor's races in those states, giving the first concrete look at nominees in several closely watched gubernatorial contests.
Governor's Races Worth Tracking
Among the states voting in the next two weeks, both Kansas's governor's race and Michigan's governor's race carry competitive general-election ratings — Kansas rated Lean R and Michigan rated Likely D. Primary results there will clarify which candidates carry those ratings into the fall.
Toss-Up Governor's Races Elsewhere
Outside this month's primary states, Arizona's governor's race, Florida's governor's race, and Nevada's governor's race remain rated Toss-up. Georgia, Iowa, and New Mexico are rated Lean D, while New Hampshire is rated Likely R. These races warrant continued attention as the primary calendar advances in other states.
New Polls (5)
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