The Lead summary section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
Polls
| National Generic Morning Consult | Democrats 49% · Republicans 43% |
| National Generic Economist/YouGov (n=1051 LV) | Democrats 51% · Republicans 39% |
| National Generic Reuters/Ipsos (n=896 RV) | Democrats 44% · Republicans 37% |
| National Generic NY Times/Siena (n=1503 LV) | Democrats 51% · Republicans 43% |
| CA Governor PPIC (n=1103 LV) | Xavier Becerra 60% · Steve Hilton 38% |
| IA Governor Cygnal (R) (n=500 LV) | Rob Sand 48% · Zach Lahn 44% |
| MN Governor co/efficient (R) (n=833 LV) | Amy Klobuchar 47% · Lisa Demuth 45% |
Headlines
The Headlines section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.
What to Watch
Governors' Races to Watch
Ten governor's races remain in competitive territory, with the field ranging from lean to toss-up. Nevada is the only race rated a pure toss-up, making it the single contest most likely to swing on late movement or turnout mechanics. Ohio, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, and Nebraska all lean Republican, while Iowa and New Mexico lean Democratic, and Arizona and Michigan sit at likely Democratic — a notch more secure but not locked down.
Watch the lean-rated contests for any tightening. A lean rating reflects a real but narrower advantage than "likely," so Ohio, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, and Nebraska on the Republican side, and Iowa and New Mexico on the Democratic side, are where polling shifts would carry the most signal. Nevada remains the marquee race of the cycle given its toss-up status.
No new events are scheduled in the immediate outlook. Readers should track each race's page directly for updated polling as it becomes available, particularly in Nevada and the seven lean-rated contests.
New Polls (19)
Added to the Archive (1)
Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.
Rating Changes
PollingSource Poll Average: South Carolina Senate N/A → Toss-up
PollingSource Poll Average: Montana House CD-01 N/A → Toss-up
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