Today's Source

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

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The Lead summary section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Polls

National Generic
Rasmussen Reports (n=1905 LV)
Democrats 47% · Republicans 42%
National Generic
Morning Consult
Democratic 46% · Republican 42%
National Generic
Rasmussen Reports
Democratic 47% · Republican 42%
NE Governor
SurveyUSA (n=503 LV)
Lynne Walz 35% · Jim Pillen 43%
NH Governor
co/efficient (R) (n=958 LV)
Cinde Warmington 34% · Kelly Ayotte 55%
FL-27 House
Bendixen & Amandi International (D) (n=600 LV)
Eliott Rodriguez 45% · María Elvira Salazar 45%
NE-02 House
SurveyUSA (n=182 LV)
Denise Powell 46% · Brinker Harding 42%
NJ-07 House
StimSight Research (n=498 LV)
Rebecca Bennett 47% · Tom Kean Jr. 42%

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Follow the Money

The Follow the Money section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Headlines

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What to Watch

🗳 Voting this week

Governor's Races to Watch

Ten gubernatorial contests carry competitive ratings heading into the cycle. Nevada is the lone toss-up, making it the highest-priority race on the board. A tier of "Lean" races follows: Florida, Georgia, Kansas, and Ohio lean Republican, while Iowa, New Mexico, and Oregon lean Democratic.

Races Trending Toward One Party

Arizona and Michigan are both rated Likely Democratic, placing them a notch outside the most competitive tier. Movement in any of these ratings over the coming week would be worth flagging.

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New Polls (7)

Sep 11, 2026 co/efficient (R) n=958 LV · ±3.2 Chris Pappas 46% John E. Sununu 46% Even
Sep 13, 2026 SurveyUSA n=503 LV · ±6.4 Lynne Walz 35% Jim Pillen 43% R+8
Sep 11, 2026 co/efficient (R) n=958 LV · ±3.2 Cinde Warmington 34% Kelly Ayotte 55% R+21
Sep 13, 2026 SurveyUSA n=182 LV · ±12.2 Denise Powell 46% Brinker Harding 42% D+4
Sep 12, 2026 StimSight Research n=498 LV · ±4.7 Rebecca Bennett 47% Tom Kean Jr. 42% D+5
Generic 2 polls
Sep 13, 2026 Morning Consult Democratic 46% Republican 42% D+4
Sep 9, 2026 Rasmussen Reports n=1,905 LV Democrats 47% Republicans 42% D+5

Added to the Archive (1)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Aug 2026 Florida CD-27 1 poll added

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