Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deb Haaland ✓ | 158,360 | 72.3% | |
| Sam Bregman | 60,587 | 27.7% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gregg Hull ✓ | 56,708 | 47.0% | |
| David Gallegos ✓ | 56,636 | 49.8% | |
| Doug Turner | 44,480 | 36.9% | |
| Aubrey Dunn | 42,965 | 37.7% | |
| Duke Rodriguez | 19,393 | 16.1% | |
| Manuel Lardizabal | 14,235 | 12.5% |
Full calendar and every race: New Mexico primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Debra Haaland Nominee
DemocratGregg Hull Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque Journal In average | 2026-10-09 this poll | 1125 LV | ±2.90 | Deb Haaland 49.00% | Gregg Hull 42.00% |
| SurveyUSA In average | 2026-09-30 this poll | 567 LV | ±5.10 | Deb Haaland 47.00% | Gregg Hull 41.00% |
| Research & Polling Inc. In average | 2026-08-28 this poll | 516 LV | ±4.30 | Deb Haaland 49.00% | Gregg Hull 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New Mexico governor's race?
Deb Haaland leads Gregg Hull 48.3% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 New Mexico governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 New Mexico governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Albuquerque Journal (completed October 9, 2026), found Deb Haaland (D) at 49% and Gregg Hull (R) at 42%.
When is the 2026 New Mexico governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat
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