Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett ✓ | 25,851 | 45.5% | |
| Tina Shah | 11,373 | 20.0% | |
| Brian Varela | 10,742 | 18.9% | |
| Michael Roth | 8,909 | 15.7% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kean Jr. ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: New Jersey primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StimSight Research | 2026-09-12 | 498 LV | ±4.70 | Rebecca Bennett 47.00% | Tom Kean Jr. 42.00% |
| Z to A Research partisan·D | 2026-05-26 | 430 LV | ±4.70 | Rebecca Bennett 47.00% | Tom Kean Jr. 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NJ-07 House race?
Rebecca Bennett leads Thomas Kean Jr. 47% to 42.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.5 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NJ-07 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NJ-07 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from StimSight Research (completed September 12, 2026), found Rebecca Bennett (D) at 47% and Tom Kean Jr. (R) at 42%.
When is the 2026 NJ-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 30 min ago
Top Spenders
- LAND I LOVE PAC GOP-aligned $4,142,753
- VOTEVETS Dem-aligned $1,028,638
- REAL CHANGE PAC GOP-aligned $660,676
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $460,408
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $378,426
- 314 ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $341,213
- BATTLEGROUND ALLIANCE PAC Dem-aligned $308,268
- AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Dem-aligned $300,163
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $289,000
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $263,894
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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