Primary
Primary held June 2, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett ✓ | 27,525 | 45.3% | |
| Tina Shah | 12,146 | 20.0% | |
| Brian Varela | 11,614 | 19.1% | |
| Michael Roth | 9,452 | 15.6% |
Full calendar and every race: New Jersey primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z to A Research partisan·D | 2026-05-26 | 430 LV | ±4.70 | Rebecca Bennett 47.00% | Tom Kean Jr. 43.00% |
| Z to A Research partisan·D | 2026-05-26 | 430 LV | ±4.70 | Tina Shah 46.00% | Tom Kean Jr. 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NJ-07 House race?
Rebecca Bennett leads Tom Kean Jr. 46.5% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 NJ-07 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive. Note: our polling average (Lean D) diverges from the expert consensus (Lean R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NJ-07 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Z to A Research (completed May 26, 2026), found Rebecca Bennett (D) at 47% and Tom Kean Jr. (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 NJ-07 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago
Top Spenders
- VOTEVETS $1,028,638
- REAL CHANGE PAC $660,676
- AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $300,163
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC $289,000
- ARTICLE ONE PAC $253,656
- COALITION FOR PROGRESS $120,296
- WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC $9,288
- ACTIVATE AMERICA $1,517
- FIELD TEAM 6, INC. $784
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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