Today's Source

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

← Aug 4 Aug 6 →

Five states held primaries Tuesday — Michigan, Missouri, Kansas, Virginia, and Washington — with the day's headline result coming out of St. Louis, where Rep. Wesley Bell turned back former Rep. Cori Bush's comeback bid in Missouri's 1st District, 59 percent to 37 percent. Michigan's marquee Senate primary produced no outright winner in the data reported, but competitive House primaries across all five states reshaped the fall map, and Kansas voters rejected a ballot measure that would have shifted how the state picks its Supreme Court justices.

Missouri: Bell Turns Back Bush, Cleaver Draws a General-Election Fight

The night's biggest story was the rematch in Missouri's 1st District, where Wesley Bell, the Democratic incumbent, defeated Cori Bush 83,663 votes to 52,083, a 59-37 result in the 1st District primary. Bush, who lost the seat to Bell in 2024, could not overcome his fundraising advantage — Bell reported $3.6 million in receipts against her $1.3 million — in a district that will stay solidly Democratic in November regardless of the primary outcome.

Elsewhere on the Missouri ballot, Rep. Ann Wagner, the Republican incumbent, won her primary with 63,637 votes (74 percent) and will face Democrat Frederick Wellman, who edged a crowded field with 45,850 votes to advance. In the open 6th District, Republican Chris Stigall, endorsed by outgoing Rep. Sam Graves, won a three-way primary with 44 percent, beating Kansas City Council member Nathan Willett; he will face Democrat Josh Smead, who took 48 percent of his own primary. In the 5th District, state Sen. Richard Brattin won a six-candidate Republican primary with 46 percent and advances to face Rep. Emanuel Cleaver, who ran unopposed on the Democratic side — setting up what The Hill described as a competitive general-election test in a district Democrats have held. Rep. Jason Smith and Rep. Mark Alford each cruised in their own primaries with more than 78 percent of the vote.

Full coverage on Missouri →

Kansas: Masterson Wins Trump-Backed Primary, Voters Reject Judicial Ballot Measure

Kansas Senate President Ty Masterson, a Republican who had President Trump's endorsement, won a six-candidate GOP primary for governor with 146,121 votes, or 43 percent, ahead of Philip Sarnecki's 22 percent. He advances to face Democrat Cindy Holscher, who won her own primary over state Sen. Ethan Corson — the Kelly-backed candidate — 107,067 votes to 85,578, a margin of roughly 10 points in the Kansas governor's race. That result puts a Kelly-endorsed candidate on the sidelines heading into a general election The Hill has flagged as one to watch.

In the Senate primary, Republican incumbent Roger Marshall won with nearly 80 percent of the vote, and will face Democrat Adam Hamilton, who won his primary with 35 percent in a crowded field, in the Kansas Senate race. Inside Elections, Cook Political Report, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Separately, Kansas voters rejected a ballot measure that would have allowed direct election of state Supreme Court justices rather than the current system of gubernatorial appointment followed by retention votes — a defeat for conservatives who had pushed the measure to alter the court's composition. Down-ballot, Rep. Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent, won her primary with 83 percent and will face Republican Eric Jenkins, who won with 79 percent of his own primary field.

Full coverage on Kansas →

Michigan: Democrats Fracture in Senate Field, John James Wins GOP Nod for Governor

Michigan's Senate primary did not produce a winner in the results reported: Democrat Abdul El-Sayed led with 671,463 votes (49 percent) over Haley Stevens' 646,004 votes (47 percent), with Mallory McMorrow a distant third at 4 percent. The gap between El-Sayed and Stevens — roughly 25,000 votes out of more than 1.3 million cast — is thin enough that the race remains unresolved in the data available.

In the governor's race, Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson won her primary with 83 percent of the vote. On the Republican side, John James won a four-candidate primary with 421,303 votes, or 50 percent, edging past the 50-percent mark against Perry Johnson's 35 percent. James will face Benson in November for a seat left open by term limits. Down-ballot, progressive candidate William Lawrence, backed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, won the 7th District Democratic primary with 44 percent over former Ambassador Bridget Brink,'s 29 percent, setting up a challenge to Republican Rep. Tom Barrett. In the 8th District, Thomas Smith defeated Trump-endorsed Amir Hassan for the Republican nomination, 50 percent to 33 percent, and will face Democratic incumbent Kristen McDonald Rivet in a race Cook rates a Toss Up and Inside Elections rates Tilt D. Rep. Rashida Tlaib won her primary with 73 percent, and state Sen. Jeremy Moss won a six-candidate field with just under 50 percent to position himself as the Democratic nominee for the seat retiring Rep. Haley Stevens is vacating to run for Senate.

Results are also in from: Virginia, where Republican Bert Mizusawa won a three-candidate Senate primary with 51 percent of the vote, and Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria and Rep. Donald Beyer each won renomination with more than 67 percent in their respective House primaries; and Washington, where Rep. Suzan DelBene advanced to the general election with 54 percent in a top-two primary against Republican Mary Silva, Rep. Rick Larsen advanced against Republican Edwin Feller, and Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez edged Republican John Braun by fewer than 300 votes, 38.92 percent to 38.73 percent, to set up a rematch in the 3rd District general election.

Full coverage on Michigan →

Full Results Analysis

Full Missouri analysis →  ·  Full Kansas analysis →  ·  Full Michigan analysis →

Polls

National Generic
Reuters/Ipsos (n=3542 RV)
Democrats 42% · Republicans 37%
National Generic
Economist/YouGov (n=1473 RV)
Democrats 46% · Republicans 42%
AL Governor
yes. every kid. (n=601 LV)
Doug Jones 41% · Tommy Tuberville 49%
TX Governor
Texas Southern University (n=1200 LV)
Gina Hinojosa 43% · Greg Abbott 49%
TX Governor
TSU/YouGov (n=1200 LV)
Hinojosa 43% · Abbott 49%
FL House
Public Policy Polling (D) (n=594 RV)
Darren McAuley 40% · Gus Bilirakis 42%
FL House
MDW Communications (D)
James Pericola 42% · Joe Stranda 42%
TX House
Normington Petts (D) (n=553 LV)
Bobby Pulido 51% · Monica De La Cruz 45%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

Ohio Senate: Brown's Fundraising Advantage

Democrat Sherrod Brown leads the field in the Ohio Senate race with $38.6 million in total receipts and $16.2 million cash on hand after $22.3 million in disbursements. The figures put Brown's operation well ahead of other Senate campaigns in this filing period, both in gross fundraising and in cash reserves heading into the next stretch.

Michigan Senate: Stevens and Rogers Report Comparable Hauls

In the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Haley Stevens raised $11.9 million and spent $9.1 million, leaving $2.8 million on hand. Republican Mike Rogers reported $10.9 million in receipts against $6.7 million in disbursements, banking $4.5 million. Rogers' higher cash-on-hand figure despite lower total receipts reflects a slower spending pace relative to Stevens through this period.

North Carolina and Nebraska Senate: Republican Fundraising

Republican Michael Whatley reported $11.3 million in receipts for the North Carolina Senate race, with $7.8 million spent and $3.5 million remaining. In Nebraska, Republican Pete Ricketts posted $11.2 million in receipts but spent less — $4.8 million — leaving him with $6.9 million on hand, the second-largest cash reserve among all filings in this batch.

House Filings: Vindman and McClain Delaney Show Divergent Spending

Among House candidates, Democrat Eugene Vindman raised $12.4 million in the Virginia 7th District race and retained $6.6 million after $5.9 million in disbursements. By contrast, Democrat April McClain Delaney raised a similar $12.3 million in the Maryland 6th District race but reported just $307,611 cash on hand after disbursements of $12 million — indicating nearly all funds raised have already been spent.

Continue reading →

Headlines

Continue reading →

What to Watch

🗳 Voting this week

Primary Calendar Kicks Into Gear

The coming week brings the first cluster of 2026 primaries. Tennessee votes August 6 in contests spanning Senate, House, and governor. Hawaii follows August 8 with House and governor primaries. Then a four-state slate lands August 11: Alabama holds a special election, while Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin all hold primaries touching House and governor races, with Minnesota and Vermont also settling Senate primary fields.

Governor's Races to Watch

Minnesota's primary voters will help shape a governor's race rated Likely D. Beyond the primary calendar, several governor's contests remain competitive heading into the fall: Arizona and Florida are both rated Toss-up, as is Nevada. Georgia and New Mexico lean Democratic, Kansas leans Republican, and Iowa is rated Lean D — all worth tracking as nominees are set.

Continue reading →

New Polls (6)

Texas Senate 1 poll
Jul 30, 2026 Texas Southern University n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 James Talarico 47% Ken Paxton 45% D+2
Jul 30, 2026 Texas Southern University n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Gina Hinojosa 43% Greg Abbott 49% R+6
Florida CD-11 1 poll
Jul 29, 2026 MDW Communications (D) James Pericola 42% Joe Stranda 42% Even
Texas CD-15 1 poll
Jul 27, 2026 Normington Petts (D) n=553 LV Bobby Pulido 51% Monica De La Cruz 45% D+6
Generic 2 polls
Aug 3, 2026 Economist/YouGov n=1,473 RV Democrats 46% Republicans 42% D+4
Aug 3, 2026 Reuters/Ipsos n=3,542 RV Democrats 42% Republicans 37% D+5

Added to the Archive (3)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Jul 2026 Alabama Senate 1 poll added
Jul 2026 Alabama Governor 1 poll added
Jun 2026 Florida CD-12 1 poll added

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning