Alabama Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Doug Jones ✓ 286,416 78.6%
Will Boyd 35,250 9.7%
Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 18,209 5.0%
Jamel J. Brown 15,692 4.3%
Chad "Chig" Martin 5,764 1.6%
Nathan "Nate" Mathis 2,954 0.8%

Republican Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Thomas Tubberville ✓ 424,278 83.8%
Tommy Tuberville ✓ 421,754 85.4%
Ken McFeeters 47,165 9.3%
"Alabama" Will Santivasci 34,867 6.9%

Full calendar and every race: Alabama primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Kay Ivey)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe R our polls
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe R
Our polling average R+12.0 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Republican

Candidates

Doug Jones

Doug Jones Nominee

Democrat
Tommy Tuberville

Tommy Tuberville Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
38.7%
Republican
50.7%
Margin
R+12.0
Latest poll in average
Oct 17, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
Cygnal (R) R-sponsored missed 2024 by 4.2 pts In average 2026-10-17 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Doug Jones 40.00% Tommy Tuberville 51.00%
The Alabama Poll In average 2026-10-16 this poll 600 LV Doug Jones 39.00% Tommy Tuberville 51.00%
RMG Research R-sponsored In average 2026-09-25 this poll 800 RV ±3.50 Doug Jones 37.00% Tommy Tuberville 50.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Alabama governor's race?

Tommy Tuberville leads Doug Jones 50.7% to 38.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+12.0 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Alabama governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Alabama governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Cygnal (R) (completed October 17, 2026), found Doug Jones (D) at 40% and Tommy Tuberville (R) at 51%.

When is the 2026 Alabama governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News

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