Ohio Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 1 Special Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sherrod Brown ✓ 712,106 89.4%
Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.6%

Republican Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jon Husted ✓ 736,413 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jon Husted
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Special Note
Vance seat - appointed Jon Husted
Polls
5 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+2.8 · 5 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Lean R on Apr 12

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt R on Sep 2

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Leans R on Jun 10

Candidates

Jon Husted

Jon Husted Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $14,360,028
Cash on Hand: $9,419,311
Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $38,566,234
Cash on Hand: $16,229,741

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.6%
Republican
43.8%
Margin
D+2.8
Last Poll
Sep 23, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Rasmussen Reports (R) ±2.1 2026-09-23 1115 LV ±3.00 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
Quantus Insights (R) partisan·R 2026-09-23 695 LV ±4.20 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 47.00%
Trafalgar Group (R) partisan·R ±1.8 2026-09-16 1085 LV ±2.90 Sherrod Brown 45.00% Jon Husted 42.00%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov 2026-09-10 1000 LV ±4.00 Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
Bowling Green/YouGov 2026-09-10 1000 LV ±4.00 Brown 48.00% Husted 45.00%
InsiderAdvantage (R) ±1.9 2026-09-09 1200 LV ±2.80 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 42.00%
Insider Advantage 2026-09-09 LV Sherrod Brown 47.30% Jon Husted 41.90%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Ohio Senate race?

Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted 46.6% to 43.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.8 margin based on 5 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Ohio Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Rasmussen Reports (R) (completed September 23, 2026), found Sherrod Brown (D) at 46% and Jon Husted (R) at 43%.

When is the 2026 Ohio Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This is a special election.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Vance vacated for VP; Husted appointed

Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago

$85,476,531
Total IE Spending
$21,451,815
Support
$64,024,716
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Top Spenders

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