Ohio Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 1 Special Election
Back to Senate Races

General Election

✓ Sherrod Brown (D)
Seat called Nov 12, 2026 11:02 PM EST · source: civicapi
CandidatePartyVotes%
Sherrod Brown ✓ Democratic 2,301,042 50.0%
Jon Husted Republican 2,077,748 45.1%
William B. Redpath Libertarian 128,272 2.8%
Greg Levy Other Party 94,509 2.1%
Stephen Faris Write-In 291 0.0%
Anthony Holliman Write-In 36 0.0%
Timothy Telymonde Write-In 27 0.0%
97% reporting

As of 11:02 PM ET, Thu Nov 12.

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sherrod Brown ✓ 712,106 89.4%
Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.6%

Republican Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jon Husted ✓ 736,413 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jon Husted
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Result
✓ Sherrod Brown (D) called Nov 12, 11:02 PM EST
Special Note
Vance seat - appointed Jon Husted
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+3.0 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Expert Ratings

Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Lean R on Apr 12

Inside Elections

Tilt Democrat
Changed from Tilt R on Sep 2

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Leans R on Jun 10

Candidates

Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $68,409,200
Cash on Hand: $4,452,803
Jon Husted

Jon Husted Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $19,894,786
Cash on Hand: $4,239,097

Greg Levy Nominee

Independent

Certified write-ins: Stephen Faris, Timothy Telymonde, Anthony Holliman.

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.7%
Republican
45.7%
Margin
D+3.0
Latest poll in average
Nov 1, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
Survey 160 In average 2026-11-01 this poll 1122 LV Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
Atlas Intel missed 2024 by 1.4 pts In average 2026-11-01 this poll 1801 LV ±2.00 Sherrod Brown 51.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Poll Vault/Emerson In average 2026-11-01 this poll 930 LV ±3.20 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 48.00%
Trafalgar Group R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.8 pts Not in average 2026-11-01 this poll 1092 LV ±2.90 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts Not in average 2026-11-01 this poll 717 LV ±3.40 Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Research Co. Not in average 2026-11-01 this poll 450 LV ±4.60 Sherrod Brown 45.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Rasmussen Reports missed 2024 by 2.1 pts Not in average 2026-10-31 this poll 1119 LV ±3.00 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 46.00%
ActiVote Not in average 2026-10-31 this poll 400 LV ±4.90 Sherrod Brown 50.20% Jon Husted 49.80%
InsiderAdvantage missed 2024 by 1.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-30 this poll 1200 LV ±2.83 Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 47.00%
YouGov Not in average 2026-10-29 this poll 2090 LV ±2.80 Sherrod Brown 50.00% Jon Husted 48.00%
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) D-sponsored Not in average 2026-10-24 this poll 469 LV ±4.50 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 42.00%
Echelon Insights (R) R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-23 this poll 508 LV ±5.20 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 47.00%
RedBox Research (D) D-sponsored Not in average 2026-10-23 this poll 2998 LV ±4.60 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
InsiderAdvantage missed 2024 by 1.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-22 this poll 1200 LV ±2.83 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Verasight Not in average 2026-10-20 this poll 531 LV ±4.20 Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
FOX News Not in average 2026-10-19 this poll 1592 LV ±2.00 Sherrod Brown 52.00% Jon Husted 47.00%
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) missed 2024 by 2.3 pts Not in average 2026-10-19 this poll 2005 RV ±2.00 Sherrod Brown 53.00% Jon Husted 46.00%
Marist missed 2024 by 4.3 pts Not in average 2026-10-18 this poll LV ±4.50 Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
ActiVote Not in average 2026-10-18 this poll 400 LV ±4.90 Sherrod Brown 49.80% Jon Husted 50.20%
Rasmussen Reports (R) missed 2024 by 2.1 pts Not in average 2026-10-14 this poll 901 LV ±3.00 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 49.00%
All candidates (full ballot): Jon Husted (R) 49% · Sherrod Brown (D) 47% · Greg Levy (I) 1% · Others 1% · Undecided 2%

Questions About This Race

Who won the 2026 Ohio Senate race?

Sherrod Brown (D) won the 2026 Ohio Senate race — the seat was called on November 12, 2026.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio Senate race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Survey 160 (completed November 1, 2026), found Sherrod Brown (D) at 49% and Jon Husted (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 Ohio Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This is a special election.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Vance vacated for VP; Husted appointed

Independent Expenditures Updated 12 hours ago

$327,003,160
Total IE Spending
$71,389,216
Support
$255,613,944
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

Get the daily email and the spending series