Today's Source

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

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South Dakota is the only state holding elections today, with voters returning to the polls for a runoff following the state's statewide primaries. The runoff determines the Republican nominee for the state's Senate seat and its at-large House district, both of which lean heavily Republican in the fall.

South Dakota: Rounds' War Chest Dwarfs the Field

The runoff for South Dakota's Senate race pits Republican Mike Rounds against a general-election field that includes independent Brian Bengs and Democrat Julian Beaudion, though today's contest centers on settling the nominee picture. Rounds has raised just over $3.17 million and holds $2.74 million in cash on hand, a financial position that dwarfs his rivals. Bengs has raised about $782,000 with roughly $51,000 remaining, while Beaudion has brought in $228,295 and has just over $3,000 left in his account.

No public polling has been reported for the race. Inside Elections and Cook Political Report both rate the seat Solid R, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Safe R, ratings that reflect the state's broader partisan lean rather than any specific survey data. With no horse-race numbers to weigh, tonight's turnout and margin will be the only available signal of the electorate's mood heading into the fall.

Full coverage on South Dakota →

South Dakota: A Three-Way Money Race in the House Runoff

The state's at-large House race features a runoff among Republicans, with Representative Dusty Johnson, Marty Jackley, and Casey Crabtree all in contention. Johnson leads in total fundraising at $1.63 million but reports zero cash on hand, a depleted position heading into the vote. Jackley has raised $1.44 million and retains $1.06 million in his account, giving him considerably more spending capacity than Johnson despite the smaller haul. Crabtree trails both, with $254,950 raised and just $18,722 on hand.

On the Democratic side, Nicole Gronli has raised $261,764 with nearly $111,000 remaining, and Billy Mawhiney has raised $31,138 with no cash on hand reported. No ratings or polling were provided for the House contest, leaving the fundraising disparities as the clearest data point ahead of results. Watch tonight whether Jackley's cash advantage translates into runoff votes despite Johnson's larger overall fundraising total, and whether the gap between the two leading Republicans narrows or widens the case for one becoming the fall favorite.

Also on the ballot today: no other states have scheduled elections, leaving South Dakota as the sole state voting, with its runoff covering both the Senate seat and the at-large House district.

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Real-time vote counts updated every 5 minutes after polls close. Polls close at 7:00 PM CT.

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Polls

National Generic
Reuters/Ipsos (n=1003 RV)
Democrats 40% · Republicans 38%
National Generic
Manhattan Institute (n=1121 LV)
Democrats 47% · Republicans 43%
CA House
Lake Research Partners (D) (n=500 LV)
Marni von Wilpert 48% · Jim Desmond 46%
MT Senate
Tavern Research (D) (n=517 LV)
Alani Bankhead 24% · Kurt Alme 49%
MT Senate
Tavern Research (D) (n=400 LV)
Alani Bankhead 26% · Kurt Alme 49%

Explore all polls and averages →

Follow the Money

Michigan Senate: Stevens and McMorrow Report Comparable Hauls

The Michigan Senate race produced two of the largest fundraising totals in this filing period among Democratic candidates. Haley Stevens reported $11,884,632.43 in total receipts and $9,091,338.23 in disbursements, leaving her with $2,793,294.20 cash on hand. Mallory McMorrow, also a Democrat, posted $11,386,720.36 in receipts against $9,519,089.08 in spending, ending the period with $1,867,631.28 on hand. Both candidates show burn rates above 80 percent of receipts, leaving comparatively thin reserves relative to what each has raised.

Ohio Senate: Brown Reports Largest Cash Position

Sherrod Brown, a Democrat running in the Ohio Senate race, filed the largest receipts total in this batch at $38,566,234.10, with $22,336,492.78 in disbursements and $16,229,741.32 remaining on hand — the highest cash balance among all candidates in this set of filings.

North Carolina and Nebraska Senate: Republican Fundraising

In the North Carolina Senate race, Republican Michael Whatley reported $11,272,504.49 in receipts, $7,810,806.43 in disbursements, and $3,461,698.06 cash on hand. In the Nebraska Senate race, Republican Pete Ricketts filed $11,233,506.70 in receipts against $4,809,505.91 in spending, leaving $6,910,969.90 on hand — a notably lower disbursement rate than most other candidates in this filing group.

House Filings: Vindman, Delaney, and Johnson

In the Virginia 7th District race, Democrat Eugene Vindman reported $12,355,663.90 in receipts, $5,917,504.37 in disbursements, and $6,573,093.27 cash on hand. In the Maryland 6th District race, Democrat April McClain Delaney filed $12,308,220.11 in receipts but just $307,611.31 cash on hand after $12,013,487.97 in disbursements — among the highest spend-to-receipts ratios in this batch. In the Louisiana 4th District race, Republican James Johnson reported $20,976,864.33 in receipts, $12,616,083.40 in disbursements, and $9,613,157.46 on hand, the largest House filing in this set.

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Headlines

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What to Watch

This section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

New Polls (3)

Jul 27, 2026 Tavern Research (D) n=517 LV · ±5 Alani Bankhead 24% Kurt Alme 49% R+25
Jul 14, 2026 Lake Research Partners (D) n=500 LV · ±4.4 Marni von Wilpert 48% Jim Desmond 46% D+2
Generic 1 poll
Jul 26, 2026 Reuters/Ipsos n=1,003 RV Democrats 40% Republicans 38% D+2

Added to the Archive (2)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Jun 2026 Montana Senate 1 poll added
Jul 2026 Generic 1 poll added

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