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South Dakota At-Large District

SD-AL • 2026 Election
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Primary

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Marty Jackley 103,290 79.2%
James Bialota Jr. 27,140 20.8%

Full calendar and every race: South Dakota primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Dusty Johnson
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Marty Jackley

Marty Jackley Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,438,706
Cash on Hand: $1,062,725
Dusty Johnson

Dusty Johnson Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $1,625,943
Cash on Hand: $0

Billy Mawhiney

Democrat
Total Raised: $31,138
Cash on Hand: $0

Nicole Gronli

Democrat
Total Raised: $261,764
Cash on Hand: $110,978

Casey Crabtree

Republican
Total Raised: $254,950
Cash on Hand: $18,722

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 SD-AL House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 SD-AL House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

[20260806: open-seat flag — incumbent retiring or seeking other office]

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.