South Dakota At-Large District

SD-AL • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Race Overview

Incumbent
Dusty Johnson
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Dusty Johnson

Dusty Johnson Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $1,625,943
Cash on Hand: $0

Billy Mawhiney

Democrat
Total Raised: $31,138
Cash on Hand: $0

Nicole Gronli

Democrat
Total Raised: $213,223
Cash on Hand: $102,581

Casey Crabtree

Republican
Total Raised: $254,650
Cash on Hand: $71,016
Marty Jackley

Marty Jackley

Republican
Total Raised: $1,331,302
Cash on Hand: $1,066,870

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more.

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 SD-AL House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 SD-AL House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News