Maine Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Graham Platner ✓ — Withdrew 154,084 72.1%
Janet Mills 41,644 19.2%
David Costello 17,560 8.1%
Andrea LaFlamme 1,114 0.5%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Susan Collins ✓ 126,398 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Maine primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Susan Collins
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Polls
8 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+1.6 · 8 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Toss-up on Feb 1

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt Republican on Sep 16

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up

Candidates

Susan Collins

Susan Collins Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $16,169,827
Cash on Hand: $11,038,115
Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson Nominee

Democrat

Chosen as the Democrat nominee at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor after Graham Platner withdrew; faces Sen. Susan Collins in November.

Graham Platner

Graham Platner Won Primary — Withdrew

Democrat

Graham Platner won the June 9 Democratic primary with 72.1% but withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats nominated Troy Jackson at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor.

Total Raised: $21,050,419
Cash on Hand: $1,763,058

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.5%
Republican
45.9%
Margin
D+1.6
Last Poll
Sep 23, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
InsiderAdvantage ±1.9 2026-09-23 1200 LV ±2.83 Jackson 46.00% Collins 46.00%
Siena College Research Institute 2026-09-22 619 LV ±4.90 Troy Jackson 46.00% Susan Collins 49.00%
New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 2026-09-22 619 LV ±4.90 Troy Jackson 46.00% Susan Collins 49.00%
New York Times/Siena 2026-09-22 619 LV Troy Jackson 46.00% Susan Collins 49.00%
University of New Hampshire 2026-09-21 1312 LV ±2.70 Troy Jackson 51.00% Susan Collins 47.00%
Quantus Insights (R) partisan·R 2026-09-15 621 LV ±4.30 Troy Jackson 47.00% Susan Collins 48.00%
University of Massachusetts/YouGov 2026-09-14 650 LV ±4.70 Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 43.00%
Rasmussen Reports (R) ±2.1 2026-09-10 1033 LV ±3.00 Troy Jackson 46.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
YouGov 2026-09-08 1335 LV ±4.90 Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 44.00%
SSRS 2026-09-06 880 LV ±3.70 Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Maine Senate race?

Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins 47.5% to 45.9% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.6 margin based on 8 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Maine Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Maine Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from InsiderAdvantage (completed September 23, 2026), found Jackson (D) at 46% and Collins (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 Maine Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Graham Platner won the June 9 Democratic primary with 72.1% but withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats nominated Troy Jackson at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor.

Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago

$37,278,452
Total IE Spending
$12,882,006
Support
$24,396,446
Oppose

Top Spenders

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