Maine Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Graham Platner — Withdrew 154,084 72.1%
Janet Mills 41,644 19.2%
David Costello 17,560 8.1%
Andrea LaFlamme 1,114 0.5%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Susan Collins 126,398 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Maine primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Susan Collins
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Polls
5 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+2.6 · 5 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Toss-up on Feb 1

Inside Elections

Toss-up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up

Candidates

Susan Collins

Susan Collins Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $16,169,827
Cash on Hand: $11,038,115
Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson Nominee

Democrat

Chosen as the Democrat nominee at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor after Graham Platner withdrew; faces Sen. Susan Collins in November.

Graham Platner

Graham Platner Won Primary — Withdrew

Democrat

Won the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary with 72.1% of the vote; withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats will select a replacement nominee at a state convention.

Total Raised: $21,050,419
Cash on Hand: $1,763,058

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.4%
Republican
45.8%
Margin
D+2.6
Last Poll
Aug 10, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Beacon 2026-08-10 Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 46.00%
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) ±2.3 2026-08-10 1000 RV ±3.00 Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 46.00%
Fox 2026-08-10 RV Troy Jackson 48.00% Susan Collins 46.00%
Hart Research (D) partisan·D 2026-08-01 802 LV ±3.50 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
University of New Hampshire 2026-07-20 1178 LV ±2.90 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 46.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Maine Senate race?

Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins 48.4% to 45.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.6 margin based on 5 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Maine Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

Why is there no Democrat nominee in the 2026 Maine Senate race?

Won the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary with 72.1% of the vote; withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats will select a replacement nominee at a state convention.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Maine Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Beacon (completed August 10, 2026), found Troy Jackson (D) at 48% and Susan Collins (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 Maine Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

NOMINEE PENDING: Graham Platner won the June 9 Democratic primary with 72.1% but withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats will select a replacement nominee at a state convention; until then the Democratic nomination is outstanding. Key pickup target for Democrats

Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago

$11,348,189
Total IE Spending
$3,928,228
Support
$7,419,960
Oppose

Top Spenders

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