Maine Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

General Election

✓ Troy Jackson (D)
Seat called Nov 12, 2026 11:01 PM EST · source: civicapi
CandidatePartyVotes%
Troy Jackson ✓ Democratic 376,070 53.0%
Susan Collins Republican 332,803 46.9%
Write-in Nonpartisan 882 0.1%
96% reporting

As of 11:01 PM ET, Thu Nov 12.

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Graham Platner ✓ — Withdrew 154,084 72.1%
Janet Mills 41,644 19.2%
David Costello 17,560 8.1%
Andrea LaFlamme 1,114 0.5%

Republican Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Susan Collins ✓ 126,398 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Maine primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Susan Collins
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Result
✓ Troy Jackson (D) called Nov 12, 11:01 PM EST
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+2.7 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Toss-up on Feb 1

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt Republican on Sep 16

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up

Candidates

Graham Platner

Graham Platner Won Primary — Withdrew

Democrat

Graham Platner won the June 9 Democratic primary with 72.1% but withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats nominated Troy Jackson at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor.

Troy Jackson

Troy Jackson Nominee

Democrat

Chosen as the Democrat nominee at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor after Graham Platner withdrew; faces Sen. Susan Collins in November.

Susan Collins

Susan Collins Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $22,465,218
Cash on Hand: $2,689,883

Certified write-ins: Sigrid Ann Olson, Ashley Webb, Joseph Steinberger, Brent Andrews, Michael Turcotte, Gina Oswald, Andrea LaFlamme.

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
50.0%
Republican
47.3%
Margin
D+2.7
Latest poll in average
Nov 1, 2026

Average uses final-round head-to-heads only. Newer first-choice polls shown for reference.

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
Survey 160 In average (final round) 2026-11-01 this poll 1322 LV Troy Jackson 50.00% Susan Collins 46.00%
Poll Vault/Emerson In average (final round) 2026-11-01 this poll 600 LV ±4.00 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 51.00%
New York Times/Siena University missed 2024 by 3.1 pts In average (final round) 2026-11-01 this poll 714 LV ±3.40 Troy Jackson 51.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
University of New Hampshire Not in average 2026-10-31 this poll 1654 LV ±2.40 Troy Jackson 54.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
YouGov Not in average 2026-10-29 this poll 1503 LV ±4.00 Troy Jackson 52.00% Susan Collins 47.00%
Data for Progress (D) D-sponsored missed 2024 by 4.1 pts Not in average 2026-10-27 this poll 652 LV ±4.00 Troy Jackson 50.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
CNN/SSRS Not in average 2026-10-26 this poll 783 LV ±4.50 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 45.00%
Marist missed 2024 by 4.3 pts Not in average 2026-10-25 this poll LV ±6.60 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 47.00%
Echelon Insights R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-23 this poll 3544 LV ±3.20 Troy Jackson 51.00% Susan Collins 44.00%
Trafalgar Group (R) R-sponsored missed 2024 by 1.8 pts Not in average 2026-10-23 this poll 1077 LV ±2.90 Troy Jackson 47.00% Susan Collins 47.00%
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) missed 2024 by 2.3 pts Not in average 2026-10-20 this poll 1514 LV ±2.50 Troy Jackson 49.00% Susan Collins 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who won the 2026 Maine Senate race?

Troy Jackson (D) won the 2026 Maine Senate race — the seat was called on November 12, 2026.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Maine Senate race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Survey 160 (completed November 1, 2026), found Troy Jackson (D) at 50% and Susan Collins (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 Maine Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Graham Platner won the June 9 Democratic primary with 72.1% but withdrew from the race in July 2026. Maine Democrats nominated Troy Jackson at the July 25, 2026 state convention in Bangor.

Independent Expenditures Updated 12 hours ago

$122,879,523
Total IE Spending
$16,282,190
Support
$106,597,333
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

Get the daily email and the spending series