Kansas Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Adam Hamilton ✓ 76,970 34.8%
Christy Davis 31,366 14.2%
Noah Taylor 29,899 13.5%
Anne Parelkar 3,352 8.0%
Damon Anderson — —

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Roger Marshall ✓ 267,887 79.8%
Pond Naramore 67,780 20.2%

Full calendar and every race: Kansas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Roger Marshall
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Likely R
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+0.4 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Likely Republican
Changed from Solid R on Sep 2

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Republican
Changed from Safe R on Aug 3

Candidates

Roger Marshall

Roger Marshall Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $4,009,075
Cash on Hand: $5,388,078
Adam Hamilton

Adam Hamilton Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $4,169,078
Cash on Hand: $1,730,621

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.3%
Republican
46.7%
Margin
R+0.4
Last Poll
Sep 24, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Wedgewood Polls 2026-09-24 500 LV ±4.40 Adam Hamilton 50.00% Roger Marshall 48.00%
Emerson ±2.7 2026-09-16 750 LV ±3.60 Adam Hamilton 45.00% Roger Marshall 43.00%
co/efficient (R) partisan·R 2026-09-10 915 LV ±3.22 Adam Hamilton 44.00% Roger Marshall 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Kansas Senate race?

Roger Marshall leads Adam Hamilton 46.7% to 46.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+0.4 margin based on 3 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Kansas Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Kansas Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Wedgewood Polls (completed September 24, 2026), found Adam Hamilton (D) at 50% and Roger Marshall (R) at 48%.

When is the 2026 Kansas Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term Class II incumbent (Moran holds the other seat, up 2028)

Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago

$7,837,268
Total IE Spending
$3,101,141
Support
$4,736,127
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

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