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Marquette

7 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2024 7 3.2 pts D+3.2 0%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2024-10-24 WI President D+1.0 R+0.9 1.9 ✗
2024-10-24 WI President D+1.0 R+0.9 1.9 ✗
2024-10-10 National President Even R+1.5 1.5 —
2024-09-26 WI President D+4.0 R+0.9 4.9 ✗
2024-09-05 WI President D+4.0 R+0.9 4.9 ✗
2024-08-01 WI President D+1.0 R+0.9 1.9 ✗
2024-08-01 National President D+4.0 R+1.5 5.5 ✗

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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