Ipsos
367 scored general-election polls (2014–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | 3.7 pts | D+3.7 | 0% |
| 2022 | 14 | 4.0 pts | D+3.9 | 31% |
| 2020 | 72 | 4.7 pts | D+4.7 | 80% |
| 2018 | 44 | 4.4 pts | D+0.6 | 77% |
| 2016 | 223 | 6.0 pts | D+3.9 | 77% |
| 2014 | 10 | 6.4 pts | D+5.4 | 71% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-03 | National President | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-11-03 | National President | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-30 | National President | D+3.0 | R+1.5 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-07 | National President | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2022-11-06 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.2 | R+2.6 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-31 | National Generic Ballot | D+2.5 | R+2.6 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-24 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.3 | R+2.6 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-21 | National Generic Ballot | D+3.0 | R+2.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-18 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+2.6 | 3.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-17 | National Generic Ballot | R+2.9 | R+2.6 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | National Generic Ballot | R+0.3 | R+2.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-03 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.7 | R+2.6 | 9.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-01 | National Generic Ballot | D+3.0 | R+2.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-26 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+2.6 | 3.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-19 | National Generic Ballot | R+0.5 | R+2.6 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | National Generic Ballot | Even | R+2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| 2022-09-12 | National Generic Ballot | R+1.2 | R+2.6 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-09 | National Generic Ballot | D+3.0 | R+2.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-11-01 | National President | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | AZ Senate | D+9.0 | D+2.4 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | AZ President | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | NC Senate | D+2.0 | R+1.8 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-29 | MI Senate | D+7.0 | D+1.7 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | WI President | D+10.0 | D+0.6 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-29 | MI President | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-24 | NC Senate | D+1.0 | R+1.8 | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-24 | AZ Senate | D+7.0 | D+2.4 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-24 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-24 | FL President | D+1.0 | R+3.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-24 | AZ President | Even | D+0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| 2020-10-23 | MI Senate | D+6.0 | D+1.7 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-23 | WI President | D+9.0 | D+0.6 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-23 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-23 | MI President | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-21 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | AZ Senate | D+8.0 | D+2.4 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | AZ President | D+4.0 | D+0.3 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | NC Senate | Even | R+1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| 2020-10-17 | MI Senate | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-17 | MI President | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-16 | WI President | D+6.0 | D+0.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-16 | PA President | D+4.0 | D+1.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-14 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-11 | AZ Senate | D+11.0 | D+2.4 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-11 | FL President | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-11 | AZ President | D+2.0 | D+0.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-11 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | NC Senate | D+4.0 | R+1.8 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-10 | MI Senate | D+8.0 | D+1.7 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | NC President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2020-10-10 | MI President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-08 | WI President | D+7.0 | D+0.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-08 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-07 | National President | D+12.0 | D+4.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-04 | National President | D+12.0 | D+4.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NC Senate | D+5.0 | R+1.8 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | MI Senate | D+7.0 | D+1.7 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | AZ Senate | D+10.0 | D+2.4 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NC President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2020-10-03 | MI President | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | AZ President | D+2.0 | D+0.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | WI President | D+6.0 | D+0.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | PA President | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | National President | D+7.7 | D+4.4 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-27 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-23 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-20 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-16 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-16 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | NC Senate | D+4.0 | R+1.8 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-13 | MI Senate | D+6.0 | D+1.7 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | AZ Senate | D+9.0 | D+2.4 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | WI President | D+5.0 | D+0.6 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | PA President | D+3.0 | D+1.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | NC President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2020-09-13 | MI President | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | FL President | Even | R+3.4 | 3.4 | — |
| 2020-09-13 | AZ President | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-05 | National President | D+12.0 | D+4.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | National Generic Ballot | D+4.8 | D+8.5 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-26 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.2 | D+8.5 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-22 | KS Governor | D+2.0 | D+5.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-21 | FL Governor | D+6.0 | R+0.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-21 | AZ Governor | R+20.0 | R+14.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-21 | FL Senate | D+5.0 | R+0.1 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-21 | AZ Senate | R+2.0 | D+2.3 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-19 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.0 | D+8.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-16 | NV Governor | R+4.8 | D+4.1 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-16 | NV Senate | R+5.7 | D+5.0 | 10.7 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-15 | WI Governor | D+3.0 | D+1.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | TX Governor | R+15.0 | R+13.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | WI Senate | D+15.2 | D+10.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | TX Senate | R+4.5 | R+2.6 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-14 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.0 | D+8.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-12 | National Generic Ballot | D+10.4 | D+8.5 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-08 | GA Governor | R+1.0 | R+1.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-08 | TN Senate | R+3.0 | R+10.8 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-05 | National Generic Ballot | D+12.6 | D+8.5 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | MO Senate | R+1.2 | R+5.8 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-01 | IL Governor | D+20.4 | D+15.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-28 | National Generic Ballot | D+11.7 | D+8.5 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-21 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.3 | D+8.5 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | WI Governor | D+7.0 | D+1.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | MI Governor | D+13.6 | D+9.6 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | WI Senate | D+13.0 | D+10.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | MI Senate | D+19.3 | D+6.5 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-17 | OH Governor | R+1.5 | R+3.7 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-17 | OH Senate | D+10.2 | D+6.9 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-16 | PA Governor | D+17.1 | D+17.1 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-16 | PA Senate | D+15.6 | D+13.1 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-16 | IN Senate | D+2.2 | R+5.9 | 8.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-14 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.1 | D+8.5 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-12 | NV Governor | R+3.0 | D+4.1 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-12 | NV Senate | R+3.0 | D+5.0 | 8.0 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-10 | TX Governor | R+9.0 | R+13.3 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-10 | TX Senate | D+2.0 | R+2.6 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-09 | FL Governor | D+6.6 | R+0.4 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-09 | CA Governor | D+12.7 | D+23.9 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-09 | AZ Governor | R+11.6 | R+14.2 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-09 | FL Senate | R+1.4 | R+0.1 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-09 | CA Senate | D+20.3 | D+8.3 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-09 | AZ Senate | D+2.6 | D+2.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | National Generic Ballot | D+9.1 | D+8.5 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-05 | National Generic Ballot | D+9.1 | R+1.0 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-04 | National President | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | VA President | D+4.8 | D+5.3 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | TX President | R+9.5 | R+9.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | PA President | D+3.0 | R+0.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-03 | OH President | D+1.0 | R+8.1 | 9.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-03 | NY President | D+18.5 | D+24.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | NJ President | D+9.9 | D+14.1 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | NC President | R+0.9 | R+3.7 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | MI President | D+1.4 | R+0.2 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-03 | MA President | D+17.4 | D+27.2 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | IN President | R+15.9 | R+19.2 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | IL President | D+12.2 | D+17.1 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | GA President | R+5.4 | R+5.1 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | FL President | D+0.9 | R+1.2 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-03 | CA President | D+27.1 | D+30.1 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.5 | R+1.0 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-30 | WV President | R+23.8 | R+42.1 | 18.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | WI President | D+5.9 | R+0.8 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-30 | WA President | D+8.2 | D+15.7 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | VT President | D+24.9 | D+26.4 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | TN President | R+13.4 | R+26.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | SD President | R+22.7 | R+29.8 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | SC President | R+5.8 | R+14.3 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | OR President | D+9.7 | D+11.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NM President | D+2.6 | D+8.2 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NH President | D+2.6 | D+0.4 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NE President | R+21.7 | R+25.1 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | ND President | R+23.6 | R+35.7 | 12.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MT President | R+18.9 | R+20.4 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MS President | R+17.2 | R+17.8 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MO President | R+8.3 | R+18.6 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MN President | D+7.9 | D+1.5 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | ME President | D+7.3 | D+3.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MD President | D+22.1 | D+26.4 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | KY President | R+20.7 | R+29.8 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | ID President | R+23.2 | R+31.8 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | HI President | D+18.6 | D+32.2 | 13.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | DE President | D+15.6 | D+11.4 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CT President | D+10.1 | D+13.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CO President | D+5.4 | D+4.9 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AZ President | R+4.7 | R+3.6 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AL President | R+16.1 | R+27.7 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | National President | D+7.3 | D+2.2 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | UT President | R+6.8 | R+18.1 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | OK President | R+30.9 | R+36.4 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | NV President | D+3.2 | D+2.4 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | LA President | R+15.4 | R+19.6 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | KS President | R+16.2 | R+20.6 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | IA President | D+0.2 | R+9.4 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-27 | AR President | R+15.2 | R+26.9 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-26 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.1 | R+1.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-25 | National President | D+5.3 | D+2.2 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | TX President | R+14.4 | R+9.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | PA President | D+2.2 | R+0.7 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-24 | OH President | R+0.3 | R+8.1 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | NY President | D+21.7 | D+24.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | MI President | D+4.2 | R+0.2 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-24 | IL President | D+21.0 | D+17.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | FL President | D+3.9 | R+1.2 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-24 | CA President | D+39.0 | D+30.1 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-21 | National Generic Ballot | D+3.7 | R+1.0 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-20 | VA President | D+8.8 | D+5.3 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | NJ President | D+16.7 | D+14.1 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | NC President | D+4.2 | R+3.7 | 7.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-20 | MA President | D+29.3 | D+27.2 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | IN President | R+14.6 | R+19.2 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | GA President | R+4.7 | R+5.1 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | National President | D+8.5 | D+2.2 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | TX President | R+13.2 | R+9.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | PA President | D+10.4 | R+0.7 | 11.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | NY President | D+23.6 | D+24.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | MI President | D+4.4 | R+0.2 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | IL President | D+29.7 | D+17.1 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | FL President | D+3.6 | R+1.2 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | CA President | D+38.2 | D+30.1 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | AZ President | R+2.0 | R+3.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-16 | National Generic Ballot | R+0.5 | R+1.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-15 | National President | D+4.9 | D+2.2 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | WI President | D+3.5 | R+0.8 | 4.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-13 | WA President | D+3.8 | D+15.7 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | TN President | R+9.7 | R+26.0 | 16.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | OH President | D+0.7 | R+8.1 | 8.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-13 | MO President | R+11.1 | R+18.6 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | MN President | D+11.8 | D+1.5 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | MD President | D+24.4 | D+26.4 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | CO President | D+3.8 | D+4.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-12 | NC Governor | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | National Generic Ballot | D+8.8 | R+1.0 | 9.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-10 | WV President | R+16.3 | R+42.1 | 25.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | TX President | R+25.4 | R+9.0 | 16.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | SD President | R+16.9 | R+29.8 | 12.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | SC President | R+7.2 | R+14.3 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | PA President | D+4.2 | R+0.7 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-10 | OR President | D+9.0 | D+11.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | NY President | D+25.9 | D+24.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | NM President | D+16.2 | D+8.2 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | NH President | D+5.9 | D+0.4 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | NE President | R+12.1 | R+25.1 | 13.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | NC President | D+3.9 | R+3.7 | 7.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-10 | MT President | R+19.1 | R+20.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | MS President | R+14.8 | R+17.8 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | MI President | D+6.5 | R+0.2 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-10 | ME President | D+9.1 | D+3.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | KY President | R+10.6 | R+29.8 | 19.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | IL President | D+32.9 | D+17.1 | 15.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | ID President | R+15.6 | R+31.8 | 16.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | FL President | D+5.8 | R+1.2 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-10 | DE President | D+13.9 | D+11.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | CT President | D+17.7 | D+13.6 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | CA President | D+43.5 | D+30.1 | 13.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | AZ President | R+5.6 | R+3.6 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | AL President | R+14.0 | R+27.7 | 13.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | National President | D+6.2 | D+2.2 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.3 | R+1.0 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-06 | VA President | D+10.4 | D+5.3 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | NJ President | D+17.7 | D+14.1 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | MA President | D+25.5 | D+27.2 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | IN President | R+8.9 | R+19.2 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-06 | GA President | R+8.5 | R+5.1 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-05 | National President | D+5.9 | D+2.2 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | WA President | D+17.6 | D+15.7 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | UT President | R+6.5 | R+18.1 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | TX President | R+16.6 | R+9.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | PA President | D+6.6 | R+0.7 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | OK President | R+15.3 | R+36.4 | 21.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | OH President | D+3.7 | R+8.1 | 11.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | NY President | D+23.7 | D+24.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | NV President | D+2.0 | D+2.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | ND President | R+10.2 | R+35.7 | 25.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | NC President | D+1.1 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | MI President | D+6.6 | R+0.2 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | LA President | R+13.2 | R+19.6 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | KS President | R+12.4 | R+20.6 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | IL President | D+26.2 | D+17.1 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | IA President | D+0.3 | R+9.4 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | FL President | D+4.8 | R+1.2 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | CA President | D+33.4 | D+30.1 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | AR President | R+16.8 | R+26.9 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-01 | National Generic Ballot | D+4.8 | R+1.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-30 | National President | D+5.8 | D+2.2 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | WI President | D+3.4 | R+0.8 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-29 | TN President | R+14.7 | R+26.0 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | MO President | R+11.7 | R+18.6 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | MN President | D+4.5 | D+1.5 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | MD President | D+21.3 | D+26.4 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | CO President | R+0.1 | D+4.9 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-29 | AZ President | R+6.8 | R+3.6 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | National Generic Ballot | D+4.1 | R+1.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | VT President | D+25.1 | D+26.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | TX President | R+15.4 | R+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | PA President | D+2.9 | R+0.7 | 3.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | OH President | D+1.6 | R+8.1 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | NY President | D+20.3 | D+24.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | NJ President | D+12.5 | D+14.1 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | MI President | D+0.3 | R+0.2 | 0.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | IL President | D+19.3 | D+17.1 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | GA President | R+12.9 | R+5.1 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | FL President | D+1.2 | R+1.2 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | CA President | D+39.9 | D+30.1 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | National President | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | WA President | D+13.7 | D+15.7 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | VA President | D+7.9 | D+5.3 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | SC President | R+4.6 | R+14.3 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | OR President | D+10.8 | D+11.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | NC President | D+4.5 | R+3.7 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-22 | MA President | D+21.7 | D+27.2 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | KY President | R+18.6 | R+29.8 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | IN President | R+17.3 | R+19.2 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | AL President | R+18.5 | R+27.7 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-21 | National Generic Ballot | D+0.6 | R+1.0 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-20 | National President | D+5.1 | D+2.2 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | WV President | R+19.6 | R+42.1 | 22.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | TX President | R+15.5 | R+9.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | SD President | R+15.1 | R+29.8 | 14.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | PA President | R+0.8 | R+0.7 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | OH President | D+3.5 | R+8.1 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-19 | NY President | D+18.8 | D+24.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | NM President | D+9.3 | D+8.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | NH President | D+6.0 | D+0.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | NE President | R+18.5 | R+25.1 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | MT President | R+13.7 | R+20.4 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | MS President | R+11.0 | R+17.8 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | ME President | D+11.5 | D+3.0 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | IL President | D+22.6 | D+17.1 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | ID President | R+32.2 | R+31.8 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | FL President | D+3.9 | R+1.2 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-19 | DE President | D+7.9 | D+11.4 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | CT President | D+17.9 | D+13.6 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | CA President | D+31.6 | D+30.1 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-16 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+1.0 | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-15 | WI President | Even | R+0.8 | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-15 | TN President | R+13.6 | R+26.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | NJ President | D+18.3 | D+14.1 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | MO President | R+15.6 | R+18.6 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | MN President | D+6.9 | D+1.5 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | MI President | D+1.3 | R+0.2 | 1.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-15 | MD President | D+16.4 | D+26.4 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | GA President | R+3.3 | R+5.1 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | CO President | R+1.8 | D+4.9 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-15 | AZ President | R+6.2 | R+3.6 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | National President | D+2.0 | D+2.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | VA President | D+9.8 | D+5.3 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | UT President | R+16.7 | R+18.1 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | TX President | R+22.6 | R+9.0 | 13.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | PA President | D+2.3 | R+0.7 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-12 | OK President | R+25.4 | R+36.4 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | OH President | D+3.7 | R+8.1 | 11.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-12 | NY President | D+23.5 | D+24.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | NV President | Even | D+2.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | LA President | R+16.1 | R+19.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | KS President | R+14.9 | R+20.6 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | IL President | D+15.3 | D+17.1 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | IA President | R+10.2 | R+9.4 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | FL President | R+3.5 | R+1.2 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | CA President | D+38.3 | D+30.1 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-12 | AR President | R+8.1 | R+26.9 | 18.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.4 | R+1.0 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-10 | National President | D+0.5 | D+2.2 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-08 | WA President | D+9.9 | D+15.7 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-08 | NC President | D+2.7 | R+3.7 | 6.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-08 | MA President | D+22.0 | D+27.2 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-08 | IN President | R+19.8 | R+19.2 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-26 | IA Governor | R+23.0 | R+21.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-26 | ME Governor | Even | R+4.8 | 4.8 | — |
| 2014-10-26 | IA Senate | Even | R+8.3 | 8.3 | — |
| 2014-10-26 | ME Senate | R+32.0 | R+37.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-17 | CO Governor | Even | D+3.3 | 3.3 | — |
| 2014-10-17 | CO Senate | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-09 | ME Governor | D+6.0 | R+4.8 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-09 | ME Senate | R+25.0 | R+37.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-05 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-10 | KY Senate | R+4.0 | R+15.5 | 11.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.