Today's Source

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

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The Lead summary section was withheld by a pre-send data check — see pollingsource.com for verified data.

Polls

National Generic
Economist/YouGov (n=1437 RV)
Democrats 46% · Republicans 40%
MI Governor
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov (n=913 RV)
Jocelyn Benson 49% · John James 39%
FL House
Hart Research Associates (D) (n=500 LV)
Leela Gray 51% · Anna 46%

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Follow the Money

Florida House: A Crowded Field of Well-Funded Republicans

Fundraising in Florida's House contests shows several Republicans posting comparable totals, but reserves diverge sharply. Brian Mast, a Republican, leads all listed candidates in cash on hand with $2.93 million, despite raising less overall than Joe Strada, another Republican who reported $5.25 million in total receipts but trails Mast with $2.25 million on hand. The gap reflects Strada's heavier spending pace — nearly $3 million disbursed against Mast's $3.15 million, leaving both with similar burn rates but different starting points.

Further down the field, Randy Fine, a Republican, and Jimmy Patronis Jr, also a Republican, show thinner reserves relative to their fundraising, with Fine at $1.19 million and Patronis at $935,301 in cash on hand after both spent more than $2.8 million. Among Democrats, Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds the largest reserve at $1.86 million, ahead of Jared Moskowitz's $1.88 million and Maxwell Frost's $1.28 million.

The financial data alone does not indicate which candidates are competing in the same primary or general election matchup. PollingSource rates this race Lean R.

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Headlines

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What to Watch

🗳 Voting this week

New Hampshire and Rhode Island Set September Primaries

New Hampshire holds primary contests for Senate, House, and governor on September 8, 2026, followed by Rhode Island's primaries across the same three office types on September 9. Both dates remain more than a year out, but they mark the first primary contests on the calendar and will shape the general-election fields in each state.

Governor's Races to Watch

Ten gubernatorial contests carry competitive ratings worth tracking. Four are rated Toss-up: Florida, Kansas, Nevada, and Ohio. Georgia leans Republican, while Iowa, Maine, and Oregon lean Democratic, and Arizona and Michigan are rated Likely Democratic. With no debates, filing deadlines, or new polling specified for the coming week, the toss-up quartet — Florida, Kansas, Nevada, and Ohio — remains the group most likely to shift as fresh data arrives.

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New Polls (4)

Aug 20, 2026 Michigan State University/YouGov n=913 RV · ±3.4 Abdul El-Sayed 48% Mike Rogers 44% D+4
Aug 28, 2026 Research & Polling Inc. n=516 LV · ±4.3 Ben Ray Luján 53% Larry Marker 38% D+15
Aug 20, 2026 Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov n=913 RV Jocelyn Benson 49% John James 39% D+10
Generic 1 poll
Aug 31, 2026 Economist/YouGov n=1,437 RV Democrats 46% Republicans 40% D+6

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