SoonerPoll.com
26 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 18.3 pts | D+18.3 | 50% |
| 2020 | 7 | 6.8 pts | D+6.8 | 86% |
| 2018 | 9 | 10.7 pts | D+3.8 | 78% |
| 2016 | 2 | 13.7 pts | D+13.7 | 100% |
| 2014 | 4 | 4.8 pts | D+4.8 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-26 | OK Governor | D+3.3 | R+13.7 | 17.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-05 | OK Senate | R+8.7 | R+26.5 | 17.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-05 | OK Governor | D+3.8 | R+13.7 | 17.5 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-05 | OK Senate | R+11.3 | R+32.2 | 20.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | OK-5 House | D+1.8 | R+4.1 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-17 | OK-1 House | R+29.0 | R+31.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | OK Senate | R+19.5 | R+30.2 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | OK President | R+22.0 | R+33.1 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-06 | OK-5 House | R+0.6 | R+4.1 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-05 | OK Senate | R+24.5 | R+30.2 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-05 | OK President | R+24.4 | R+33.1 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | OK Governor | R+2.9 | R+12.1 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | OK-5 House | R+11.5 | D+1.4 | 12.9 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-24 | OK Governor | R+4.8 | R+12.1 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-20 | OK-5 House | R+10.0 | D+1.4 | 11.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-20 | OK-4 House | R+33.3 | R+30.1 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-20 | OK-3 House | R+29.9 | R+47.8 | 17.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-20 | OK-2 House | R+13.8 | R+34.9 | 21.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-20 | OK-1 House | R+22.1 | R+18.6 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | OK Governor | R+2.4 | R+12.1 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-19 | OK President | R+30.0 | R+36.4 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-14 | OK President | R+15.3 | R+36.4 | 21.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-27 | OK Governor | R+8.4 | R+14.8 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-27 | OK Senate | R+31.3 | R+38.9 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-27 | OK Senate | R+34.9 | R+39.5 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-28 | OK Governor | R+14.0 | R+14.8 | 0.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.