Moore Information Group
22 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 6.6 pts | R+6.6 | 33% |
| 2020 | 3 | 7.5 pts | D+7.5 | 100% |
| 2018 | 1 | 12.2 pts | R+12.2 | 0% |
| 2016 | 6 | 5.8 pts | D+1.9 | 100% |
| 2014 | 5 | 9.9 pts | R+3.7 | 60% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 | WA Senate | R+0.4 | D+14.5 | 14.9 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-31 | GA Senate | R+5.0 | D+1.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-24 | IA-3 House | R+2.0 | R+0.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | GA Senate | R+4.0 | D+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-21 | WA Senate | Even | D+14.5 | 14.5 | — |
| 2022-10-10 | GA Senate | R+2.0 | D+1.0 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-23 | IA-3 House | R+2.0 | R+0.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | AL Senate | R+15.0 | R+20.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | AL President | R+17.0 | R+25.5 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-21 | ME Senate | Even | R+8.6 | 8.6 | — |
| 2018-10-05 | NV-4 House | R+4.0 | D+8.2 | 12.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-05 | AK President | R+3.0 | R+14.7 | 11.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-05 | AK Senate | R+40.0 | R+32.7 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-04 | AZ-1 House | D+3.0 | D+7.3 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-02 | MT-1 House | R+11.0 | R+15.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-14 | AK President | R+8.0 | R+14.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-14 | AK Senate | R+33.0 | R+32.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-27 | AK Senate | R+4.0 | R+2.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-10 | WA-1 House | R+21.0 | D+10.1 | 31.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-07 | AZ Governor | D+3.0 | R+11.8 | 14.8 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-05 | WA-1 House | D+9.0 | D+10.1 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-23 | CA-3 House | D+6.0 | D+5.5 | 0.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.