Cherry Communications partisan·R
13 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 8.4 pts | D+8.4 | 100% |
| 2020 | 1 | 8.4 pts | D+8.4 | 0% |
| 2018 | 3 | 4.3 pts | D+4.3 | 0% |
| 2016 | 6 | 7.9 pts | R+3.9 | 33% |
| 2014 | 2 | 3.4 pts | R+3.4 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-18 | FL Governor | R+11.0 | R+19.4 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-26 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-21 | FL Governor | D+6.0 | R+0.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-21 | FL Senate | D+2.0 | R+0.1 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-08 | FL Governor | D+4.0 | R+0.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | FL-7 House | R+5.0 | D+3.0 | 8.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-18 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+1.2 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-18 | FL Senate | R+14.0 | R+7.7 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | FL President | D+2.0 | R+1.2 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-17 | FL Senate | R+4.0 | R+7.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-14 | FL-7 House | R+18.0 | D+3.0 | 21.0 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-28 | FL Governor | R+5.0 | R+1.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-20 | FL Governor | R+4.0 | R+1.1 | 2.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.