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Texas Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Gina Hinojosa 1,289,576 58.5%
Chris Bell 216,787 9.8%
Angela "Tia Angie" Villescaz 150,752 6.8%
Patricia Abrego 128,632 5.8%
Andrew White 117,392 5.3%
Bobby Cole 112,675 5.1%
Jose Navarro Balbuena 65,826 3.0%
Carlton W. Hart 63,278 2.9%
Zach Vance 58,753 2.7%

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Greg Abbott 1,764,924 81.8%
Pete "Doc" Chambers 240,640 11.2%
Evelyn Brooks 44,142 2.0%
Arturo Espinosa 23,444 1.1%
Charles Andrew Crouch 15,405 0.7%
Kenneth Hyde 14,941 0.7%
Nathaniel Welch 12,057 0.6%
Mark V. Goloby 10,991 0.5%
Stephen Samuelson 10,864 0.5%
Ronnie Tullos 10,352 0.5%
R.F. "Bob" Achgill 9,119 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Greg Abbott
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean R our polls experts: Safe R
Polls
8 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+3.4 · 8 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Gina Hinojosa Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
45.0%
Republican
48.4%
Margin
R+3.4
Last Poll
Aug 13, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov 2026-08-13 1218 RV Gina Hinojosa 40.00% Greg Abbott 45.00%
University of Texas/Texas Politics Project 2026-08-13 1200 RV ±2.83 Gina Hinojosa 40.00% Greg Abbott 45.00%
University of Texas 2026-08-13 1218 LV ±2.80 Hinojosa 40.00% Abbott 45.00%
Emerson ±2.7 2026-08-10 1000 LV ±3.00 Gina Hinojosa 45.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
GBAO (D) partisan·D 2026-08-09 1000 LV ±3.10 Gina Hinojosa 48.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
Wedgewood Polls 2026-07-31 800 LV ±4.00 Gina Hinojosa 44.00% Greg Abbott 50.00%
Cygnal (R) partisan·R ±4.2 2026-07-31 800 LV ±3.50 Gina Hinojosa 46.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University 2026-07-30 619 LV ±4.70 Gina Hinojosa 45.00% Greg Abbott 46.00%
Texas Southern University 2026-07-30 1200 LV ±2.80 Gina Hinojosa 43.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) ±2.3 2026-07-27 1005 RV ±3.00 Gina Hinojosa 49.00% Greg Abbott 50.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Texas governor's race?

Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa 48.4% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+3.4 margin based on 8 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Texas governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Texas governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov (completed August 13, 2026), found Gina Hinojosa (D) at 40% and Greg Abbott (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 Texas governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Seeking third term

Race News