Western New England University Polling Institute
10 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 1.9 pts | D+1.8 | 100% |
| 2018 | 2 | 5.2 pts | D+0.7 | 100% |
| 2016 | 2 | 3.8 pts | D+3.8 | 100% |
| 2014 | 4 | 2.4 pts | R+2.0 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-18 | CT Governor | D+15.0 | D+11.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-18 | CT Senate | D+13.0 | D+13.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-18 | MA Governor | R+38.0 | R+33.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-18 | MA Senate | D+30.0 | D+24.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-28 | MA President | D+30.0 | D+27.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-28 | MA President | D+32.0 | D+27.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-25 | MA Governor | R+5.0 | R+1.9 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-25 | MA Senate | D+20.0 | D+23.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-24 | MA Governor | R+1.0 | R+1.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-24 | MA Senate | D+22.0 | D+23.9 | 1.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.