Victory Insights
3 scored general-election polls (2022–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-18 | NC President | R+4.0 | R+3.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | FL Governor | R+12.7 | R+19.4 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | FL Senate | R+4.0 | R+16.4 | 12.4 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.