All 2026 races in Missouri (Governor, Senate and House) →
Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Wellman ✓ | 39,327 | 45.9% | |
| Joan VonDras | 36,906 | 43.0% | |
| Timothy D. Bilash | 9,547 | 11.1% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Wagner ✓ | 63,637 | 73.9% | |
| Peter A. Pfeifer | 6,847 | 8.0% | |
| Brandon Wilkinson | 6,046 | 7.0% | |
| Matthew R. Grant | 2,372 | 6.5% |
Full calendar and every race: Missouri primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Ann Wagner Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) D-sponsored missed 2024 by 2.0 pts In average | 2026-10-20 this poll | 631 LV | Frederick Wellman 46.00% | Ann Wagner 45.00% | |
| Poll Vault/Emerson In average | 2026-10-14 this poll | 401 LV | Frederick Wellman 51.00% | Ann Wagner 46.00% | |
| Remington Research Group (R) R-sponsored In average | 2026-09-15 this poll | 565 LV | Frederick Wellman 42.00% | Ann Wagner 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who won the 2026 MO-02 House race?
Fred Wellman (D) won the 2026 MO-02 House race — the seat was called on November 4, 2026.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 MO-02 House race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed October 20, 2026), found Frederick Wellman (D) at 46% and Ann Wagner (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 MO-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 9 hours ago
Top Spenders
- VOTEVETS Dem-aligned $323,600
- PROTECT OUR FAMILY VALUES ACTION GOP-aligned $220,070
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $59,269
- WFW ACTION FUND INC GOP-aligned $18,049
- FIELD TEAM 6, INC. Dem-aligned $2,540
- BATTLEGROUND ALLIANCE PAC Dem-aligned $2,000
- HEARTLAND WINS Primary $66
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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