All 2026 races in Pennsylvania (Governor, Senate and House) →
General Election
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti ✓ | Democratic | 154,060 | 54.5% | |
| Rob Bresnahan | Republican | 128,739 | 45.5% |
As of 11:02 PM ET, Thu Nov 12.
Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti ✓ | 58,726 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Bresnahan ✓ | 38,075 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Rob Bresnahan Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research (D) In average | 2026-10-23 this poll | 696 LV | ±4.60 | Paige Cognetti 49.00% | Rob Bresnahan 46.00% |
| New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University In average | 2026-10-22 this poll | 400 LV | ±5.70 | Paige Cognetti 51.00% | Rob Bresnahan 46.00% |
| Emerson College missed 2024 by 2.7 pts In average | 2026-10-14 this poll | 396 LV | Paige Cognetti 52.00% | Rob Bresnahan 48.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who won the 2026 PA-08 House race?
Paige Cognetti (D) won the 2026 PA-08 House race — the seat was called on November 12, 2026.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-08 House race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from RedBox Research (D) (completed October 23, 2026), found Paige Cognetti (D) at 49% and Rob Bresnahan (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 PA-08 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Northeast PA; flipped R 2024
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 week ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $4,468,831
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,433,333
- CLF GOP-aligned $2,364,142
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $887,072
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $835,273
- TOMORROW TOGETHER Dem-aligned $822,255
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $677,231
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $628,733
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $566,957
- REAL RESULTS PAC GOP-aligned $382,025
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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