Pennsylvania District 8

PA-08 • 2026 Election
Back to House Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Paige Cognetti ✓ 58,726 100.0%

Republican Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Rob Bresnahan ✓ 38,075 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Rob Bresnahan
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Toss-up expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+4
2024 Margin
R+3

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.

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Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Toss-up on Feb 1

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt D on Feb 1

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up

Candidates

Rob Bresnahan

Rob Bresnahan Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $5,234,586
Cash on Hand: $2,608,048
Paige Cognetti

Paige Cognetti Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $4,609,589
Cash on Hand: $3,406,710

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
D+2.0
Last Poll
Jun 23, 2026

No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 PA-08 House race?

Paige Cognetti leads Rob Bresnahan 47% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).

Is the 2026 PA-08 House race competitive?

Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

When is the 2026 PA-08 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Northeast PA; flipped R 2024

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$3,186,642
Total IE Spending
$1,157,364
Support
$2,029,279
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.