Ohio and Michigan Senate Fields Post Big Numbers
From the PollingSource daily briefing for July 9, 2026
Ohio and Michigan Senate Fields Post Big Numbers
Sherrod Brown, the Democrat seeking a return to the Senate in Ohio, reported $25.98 million raised and $17 million on hand, a haul that dwarfs every other Senate filing released this period. The size of the number matters less than what it signals: a campaign built on national donor infrastructure, not a one-state operation. Brown's fundraising has consistently outpaced Ohio's electoral lean toward Republicans in recent cycles, and the gap between his war chest and those of his eventual opponent will shape ad-buy calculations well before the general election takes shape. The filing sets an early marker for the Ohio Senate race that rivals will be measured against for the rest of the cycle.
Michigan's open seat tells a different story: not one dominant filer, but three Democrats bunched close enough together to suggest a primary that will drain resources long before facing Republican opposition. Haley Stevens raised $8.87 million and holds $3.39 million on hand; Mallory McMorrow brought in $8.62 million with $3.69 million remaining; Abdul El-Sayed raised $7.65 million but has burned through enough — $5.12 million in spending — to leave just $2.53 million in reserve. On the Republican side, Michael Rogers filed $7.68 million raised against $4.25 million on hand, a comparatively stronger cash position than any of his eventual Democratic opponent's rivals. The tight spread among the three Democrats all but guarantees a costly primary fight in the Michigan Senate race, with the eventual nominee likely emerging financially depleted relative to Rogers.
Texas Senate: Heavy Spending, Thin Reserves
All three major filers in the Texas Senate race are spending close to or beyond what they take in, a pattern that leaves little room for error heading into the next reporting period. Democrat Colin Allred raised $7.63 million but spent $7.76 million, ending with just $11,951 cash on hand — effectively zero. Republican incumbent John Cornyn shows an almost identical ratio, $7.92 million raised against $7.96 million spent, though his larger base leaves him with $4.08 million in reserve. Fellow Republican Warren Paxton raised $7.61 million and spent $5.26 million, retaining $2.35 million. The near-uniform spending pace across party lines in the Texas Senate race suggests all three campaigns are treating this period as a sprint rather than a fundraising accumulation phase, a posture that puts pressure on the next filing to replenish accounts before the primary and general campaigns intensify.
Kentucky Senate: Barr Outspends Receipts
Republican Garland Barr's filing is the rare case in this batch where disbursements exceed receipts outright: $8.4 million raised against $9.65 million spent, leaving $2.45 million on hand — meaning the campaign dipped into prior reserves to cover the gap. Fellow Republican Nate Morris raised a comparable $8.59 million but spent $7.88 million of it, leaving only $708,324 in the bank. Both filings point to an intraparty contest already consuming resources at a rate that will require aggressive fundraising well before the general election in the Kentucky Senate race. Morris's thin reserve in particular leaves little cushion if the primary extends into late stages or draws outside spending that forces a response.
House Filings: Crockett and Delaney Show Zero-Sum Cash Positions
Three House filings this period illustrate how front-loaded spending has become even at the district level. Texas Democrat Jasmine Crockett raised $7.91 million but reported $0.00 cash on hand against $9.44 million in disbursements — spending beyond what she raised in the period, drawing down existing funds entirely. Maryland Democrat April Delaney raised $8.55 million, spent $8.13 million, and retained $426,334. Georgia Democrat Shawn Harris raised $7.9 million, spent $7.82 million, and holds just $74,021. All three now enter the next period needing to rebuild reserves from close to nothing. The pattern, visible in the Texas 30th District, Maryland 6th District, and Georgia 3rd District filings, reflects the cost of building name recognition early in cycles where primary contests are competitive enough to demand it.
Taken together, this filing period shows fundraising strength and financial durability are not the same thing. Several campaigns posting headline totals in the seven-to-eight-million range are ending the period with cash on hand in the thousands, not millions — a gap that will narrow the field's margin for error as primaries approach.