University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center
7 scored general-election polls (2016–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | 5.2 pts | D+5.2 | 100% |
| 2020 | 3 | 15.2 pts | D+15.2 | 100% |
| 2016 | 2 | 12.2 pts | D+12.2 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-28 | WY-1 House | R+39.4 | R+43.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | WY Governor | R+52.3 | R+58.3 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | WY-1 House | R+30.0 | R+44.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | WY Senate | R+30.0 | R+46.1 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | WY President | R+28.0 | R+43.4 | 15.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-08 | WY-1 House | R+16.0 | R+32.1 | 16.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-08 | WY President | R+38.0 | R+46.3 | 8.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.