University of New Orleans Survey Research Center
6 scored general-election polls (2014–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 4.3 pts | R+4.3 | 100% |
| 2016 | 2 | 6.7 pts | R+1.0 | 100% |
| 2015 | 2 | 8.8 pts | D+8.8 | 100% |
| 2014 | 1 | 3.9 pts | D+3.9 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-22 | LA President | R+22.9 | R+18.6 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-12-06 | LA Senate | R+29.0 | R+21.3 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | LA President | R+14.0 | R+19.6 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2015-11-14 | LA Governor | D+20.0 | D+12.2 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2015-11-05 | LA Governor | D+22.0 | D+12.2 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-17 | LA Senate | R+8.0 | R+11.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.