University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
14 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6 | 1.6 pts | R+0.7 | 67% |
| 2020 | 6 | 1.9 pts | R+0.9 | 50% |
| 2018 | 2 | 0.8 pts | D+0.8 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-22 | GA Governor | R+6.8 | R+7.5 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | GA Senate | R+0.3 | D+1.0 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-29 | GA Governor | R+10.3 | R+7.5 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-29 | GA Senate | D+3.0 | D+1.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-11 | GA Governor | R+8.0 | R+7.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-11 | GA Senate | R+1.6 | D+1.0 | 2.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | GA Senate | D+1.1 | R+1.8 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | GA President | D+0.3 | D+0.2 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-01 | GA Senate | R+7.5 | R+1.8 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-01 | GA President | R+1.1 | D+0.2 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-15 | GA Senate | R+2.4 | R+1.8 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-15 | GA President | R+0.3 | D+0.2 | 0.5 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-25 | GA Governor | D+0.2 | R+1.4 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-04 | GA Governor | R+1.4 | R+1.4 | 0.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.