Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.
34 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8 | 2.5 pts | R+1.3 | 71% |
| 2020 | 13 | 2.5 pts | D+1.0 | 50% |
| 2018 | 6 | 8.6 pts | D+8.0 | 83% |
| 2016 | 4 | 4.4 pts | D+3.1 | 25% |
| 2014 | 3 | 4.3 pts | R+4.3 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-30 | PA Governor | D+13.6 | D+14.8 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | PA Senate | R+1.0 | D+4.9 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-26 | NV Governor | R+1.2 | R+1.5 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | NV Senate | R+5.6 | D+0.8 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-16 | AZ Governor | D+0.7 | D+0.7 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-16 | AZ Senate | D+3.2 | D+4.9 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-08 | National Generic Ballot | Even | R+2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| 2022-09-24 | National Generic Ballot | R+1.0 | R+2.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-11-01 | PA President | R+0.8 | D+1.2 | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-31 | FL President | R+1.0 | R+3.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | WI President | D+3.0 | D+0.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-24 | FL President | R+4.5 | R+3.4 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-21 | AZ Senate | R+3.0 | D+2.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-21 | AZ President | R+0.4 | D+0.3 | 0.7 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | WI President | Even | D+0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| 2020-10-09 | NC Senate | D+2.0 | R+1.8 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-09 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-27 | AZ Senate | D+4.0 | D+2.4 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-27 | AZ President | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | WI President | D+2.0 | D+0.6 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-29 | PA-16 House | D+4.0 | R+4.3 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-28 | PA-8 House | D+17.0 | D+9.3 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | PA-13 House | R+21.0 | R+41.0 | 20.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-24 | PA-9 House | R+21.0 | R+19.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-21 | PA-11 House | R+4.0 | R+18.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-20 | PA-10 House | R+3.0 | R+2.6 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+0.7 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-31 | PA Senate | D+6.0 | R+1.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-06 | PA President | D+4.0 | R+0.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-06 | PA Senate | R+4.0 | R+1.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-16 | SC Governor | R+20.0 | R+14.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-16 | SC Senate | R+27.0 | R+22.1 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-16 | SC Senate | R+20.0 | R+17.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.