Meeting Street Insights
5 scored general-election polls (2016–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3 | 4.5 pts | D+4.5 | 33% |
| 2018 | 1 | 7.0 pts | R+7.0 | 100% |
| 2016 | 1 | 5.7 pts | D+5.7 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-26 | NC Governor | D+8.0 | D+4.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-26 | NC Senate | D+4.0 | R+1.8 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-26 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-01 | NE-2 House | R+9.0 | R+2.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-15 | VA-5 House | R+11.0 | R+16.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.