Civiqs
73 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 32 | 4.8 pts | D+3.7 | 93% |
| 2020 | 39 | 5.3 pts | D+5.1 | 76% |
| 2018 | 2 | 3.3 pts | R+3.3 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-06 | WI Governor | D+3.0 | D+3.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | OH Governor | R+14.0 | R+25.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | WI Senate | R+1.0 | R+1.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | OH Senate | R+5.0 | R+6.1 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | MO Senate | R+15.0 | R+13.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-06 | IN Senate | R+11.0 | R+20.8 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | FL Governor | R+9.0 | R+19.4 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | AZ Governor | R+2.0 | D+0.7 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-31 | NC Senate | Even | R+3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2022-10-31 | FL Senate | R+7.0 | R+16.4 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | AZ Senate | Even | D+4.9 | 4.9 | — |
| 2022-10-24 | NY Governor | D+11.0 | D+7.3 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | IA Governor | R+12.0 | R+18.5 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | IL Governor | D+17.0 | D+12.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | NY Senate | D+15.0 | D+14.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | IA Senate | R+8.0 | R+12.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-24 | IL Senate | D+16.0 | D+15.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-17 | OR Governor | D+8.0 | D+3.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-17 | CO Governor | D+15.0 | D+19.4 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-17 | WA Senate | D+14.0 | D+14.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-17 | OR Senate | D+17.0 | D+14.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-17 | CO Senate | D+13.0 | D+14.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | TX Governor | R+8.0 | R+10.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | GA Governor | R+5.0 | R+7.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | GA Senate | D+3.0 | D+1.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-19 | FL Governor | R+7.0 | R+19.4 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-19 | NC Senate | D+1.0 | R+3.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-19 | FL Senate | R+2.0 | R+16.4 | 14.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | WI Governor | D+1.0 | D+3.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | OH Governor | R+3.0 | R+25.0 | 22.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | WI Senate | R+1.0 | R+1.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | OH Senate | R+3.0 | R+6.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | IA Senate | D+3.0 | R+6.6 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-31 | WI President | D+4.0 | D+0.6 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | OH President | R+1.0 | R+8.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | IA President | D+1.0 | R+8.2 | 9.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | MS Senate | R+8.0 | R+10.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | GA Senate | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | 7.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | MS President | R+14.0 | R+16.6 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | GA President | D+5.0 | D+0.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | MN Senate | D+11.0 | D+5.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | NV President | D+9.0 | D+2.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | MN President | D+10.0 | D+7.1 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC Governor | D+7.0 | D+4.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | VA Senate | D+11.0 | D+12.1 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC Senate | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | 7.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-13 | CO Senate | D+11.0 | D+9.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | VA President | D+13.0 | D+10.1 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC President | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-13 | CO President | D+12.0 | D+13.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | WI President | D+8.0 | D+0.6 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | OH President | R+3.0 | R+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | MI President | D+9.0 | D+2.8 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-05 | TX Senate | R+1.0 | R+9.6 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-05 | IA Senate | D+3.0 | R+6.6 | 9.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-05 | TX President | Even | R+5.6 | 5.6 | — |
| 2020-10-05 | IA President | D+1.0 | R+8.2 | 9.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-28 | OR Senate | D+20.0 | D+17.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-28 | KS Senate | R+7.0 | R+11.4 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-28 | GA Senate | D+2.0 | R+1.8 | 3.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-28 | OR President | D+17.0 | D+16.1 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-28 | KS President | R+10.0 | R+14.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-28 | GA President | D+3.0 | D+0.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | WI President | D+7.0 | D+0.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | OH President | R+3.0 | R+8.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | MI President | D+11.0 | D+2.8 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-29 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.0 | D+8.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-23 | KS Governor | D+2.0 | D+5.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.