Bendixen & Amandi International partisan·D
6 scored general-election polls (2016–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 8.5 pts | D+8.5 | — |
| 2020 | 1 | 9.7 pts | D+9.7 | 0% |
| 2016 | 4 | 3.0 pts | R+0.7 | 75% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-12 | TX-15 House | Even | R+8.5 | 8.5 | — |
| 2020-10-11 | FL-27 House | D+7.0 | R+2.7 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | NV President | D+7.0 | D+2.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-22 | NV Senate | D+1.0 | D+2.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-28 | NV President | D+1.0 | D+2.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-28 | NV Senate | R+2.0 | D+2.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.