American Pulse Research & Polling
12 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3 | 10.7 pts | R+10.7 | 67% |
| 2020 | 4 | 19.6 pts | D+19.6 | 100% |
| 2018 | 5 | 5.4 pts | D+0.8 | 80% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-26 | WA Senate | D+5.2 | D+14.5 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | NY-19 House | R+9.6 | R+1.9 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-07-27 | NY-19 House | R+9.8 | D+5.3 | 15.1 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-19 | WV Governor | R+18.2 | R+33.9 | 15.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-19 | WV President | R+20.1 | R+38.9 | 18.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-29 | WV Governor | R+11.0 | R+33.9 | 22.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-29 | WV President | R+18.0 | R+38.9 | 20.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-08 | National Generic Ballot | R+1.8 | D+8.5 | 10.3 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-19 | OH Governor | R+4.7 | R+3.7 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-19 | OH Senate | D+10.2 | D+6.9 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-11 | TN Governor | R+16.4 | R+21.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-11 | TN Senate | R+3.3 | R+10.8 | 7.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.