1892 Polling partisan·R
4 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 7.6 pts | — | 100% |
| 2020 | 1 | 0.0 pts | Even | 100% |
| 2018 | 2 | 2.0 pts | R+2.0 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-11 | ND-1 House | D+17.0 | D+24.6 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-04 | FL-27 House | R+2.7 | R+2.7 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-21 | FL Governor | R+1.0 | R+0.4 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-24 | WV Senate | Even | D+3.3 | 3.3 | — |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.