Wisconsin District 1

WI-01 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Mitchell Berman 31,493 44.1%
Peter Burgelis 15,455 21.7%
Lorenzo J. Santos 14,590 20.4%
Miguel Aranda
99% reporting

Republican Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Bryan Steil

Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bryan Steil
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+8

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Bryan Steil

Bryan Steil Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $5,467,777
Cash on Hand: $6,327,099

Mitchell Berman Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $712,984
Cash on Hand: $151,644

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.0%
Republican
49.0%
Margin
R+1.0
Last Poll
Aug 9, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Impact Research (D) partisan·D D-sponsored 2026-08-09 400 LV ±4.90 Mitchell Berman 48.00% Bryan Steil 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 WI-01 House race?

Bryan Steil leads Mitchell Berman 49% to 48% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 WI-01 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 WI-01 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed August 9, 2026), found Mitchell Berman (D) at 48% and Bryan Steil (R) at 49%.

When is the 2026 WI-01 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.