New Mexico District 2 (2026)

Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Democratic Primary

Candidate	Votes	%
Gabe Vasquez ✓	47,123	100.0%

Republican Primary

Candidate	Votes	%
Greg Cunningham ✓	26,836	84.5%
Jose Orozco	4,910	15.5%

Full calendar and every race: New Mexico primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent

Gabe Vasquez

Party

Democrat

Current Rating

Toss-up our polls experts: Lean D

Open Seat

Cook PVI

D+2

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up

Our polling average D+2.0 · 1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Lean D

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans D

Candidates

Gabe Vasquez Nominee Incumbent

Democrat

Total Raised: $3,784,102

Cash on Hand: $2,378,703

FEC Filing

Greg Cunningham Nominee

Republican

Total Raised: $1,510,080

Cash on Hand: $794,187

FEC Filing

General Election Polling Average

Democrat

43.0%

Republican

41.0%

Margin

D+2.0

Last Poll

Apr 28, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster	Date	Sample	MoE	Dem	Rep
co/efficient (R) partisan·R	2026-04-28	879 LV	±3.30	Gabe Vasquez 43.00%	Greg Cunningham 41.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 NM-02 House race?

Gabe Vasquez leads Greg Cunningham 43% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.

Is the 2026 NM-02 House race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 NM-02 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from co/efficient (R) (completed April 28, 2026), found Gabe Vasquez (D) at 43% and Greg Cunningham (R) at 41%.

When is the 2026 NM-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago

$257

Total IE Spending

$257

Support

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Top Spenders

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Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.