Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vasquez ✓ | 47,123 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Cunningham ✓ | 26,836 | 84.5% | |
| Jose Orozco | 4,909 | 15.5% |
Full calendar and every race: New Mexico primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Gabe Vasquez Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2026-09-04 | 554 LV | Gabe Vasquez 46.00% | Greg Cunningham 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NM-02 House race?
Gabe Vasquez leads Greg Cunningham 46% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NM-02 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NM-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from SurveyUSA (completed September 4, 2026), found Gabe Vasquez (D) at 46% and Greg Cunningham (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 NM-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $955,659
- CHC BOLD PAC Dem-aligned $785,938
- BOLD AMERICA Dem-aligned $225,864
- HMP Dem-aligned $204,000
- RETIRED AMERICANS ACTION Dem-aligned $65,709
- CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC. GOP-aligned $42,383
- CLF GOP-aligned $38,235
- BLUE CD2 NEW MEXICO USA Dem-aligned $25,446
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $390
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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