New Jersey District 3

NJ-03 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary held June 2, 2026.

Republican Primary

CandidateVotes%
Michael McGuire 14,810 57.9%
Jason Cullen 6,238 24.4%
Justin Barbera 4,519 17.7%

Full calendar and every race: New Jersey primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Herb Conaway
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Likely D expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+4

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Likely D

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Michael McGuire Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $79,190
Cash on Hand: $807

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 NJ-03 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

When is the 2026 NJ-03 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Replaced Andy Kim who won Senate

Independent Expenditures Updated 8 hours ago

$77
Total IE Spending
$77
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.