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Wisconsin Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
David Crowley 313,321 39.8%
Francesca Hong 310,110 39.4%
Kelda Roys 59,013 7.5%
Joel Brennan
98% reporting

Republican Primary

Held August 11, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Tom Tiffany 466,466 95.2%
Andy Manske 22,577 4.6%
Total Write-ins 1,177 0.2%
98% reporting

Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Tony Evers)
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Lean D our polls experts: Toss-up
Polls
6 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean D
Our polling average D+3.0 · 6 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

David Crowley Nominee

Democrat

Tom Tiffany Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
45.8%
Republican
42.8%
Margin
D+3.0
Last Poll
Aug 18, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Tipp 2026-08-18 LV David Crowley 47.00% Tom Tiffany 43.00%
League of American Workers 2026-08-18 1434 RV ±2.90 David Crowley 43.00% Tom Tiffany 41.00%
Tipp 2026-08-18 RV David Crowley 43.00% Tom Tiffany 41.00%
TIPP Insights partisan·R ±2.5 R-sponsored 2026-08-18 1434 RV David Crowley 43.00% Tom Tiffany 41.00%
TIPP Insights (R) partisan·R ±2.5 2026-08-18 1199 LV ±3.10 David Crowley 47.00% Tom Tiffany 43.00%
Platform Comms. 2026-08-13 David Crowley 48.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%
Platform communications 2026-08-13 LV David Crowley 48.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%
Platform Communications (R) 2026-08-13 500 LV ±4.40 David Crowley 48.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%
GBAO Strategies D-sponsored 2026-08-03 800 LV David Crowley 47.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%
OSZ 2026-08-03 David Crowley 47.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%
GBAO (D) partisan·D 2026-08-03 800 LV ±3.50 David Crowley 47.00% Tom Tiffany 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race?

David Crowley leads Tom Tiffany 45.8% to 42.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.0 margin based on 6 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Tipp (completed August 18, 2026), found David Crowley (D) at 47% and Tom Tiffany (R) at 43%.

When is the 2026 Wisconsin governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Evers not seeking a third term (not term-limited); open seat in swing state

Race News