Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro ✓ | 1,116,960 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stacy Garrity ✓ | 641,534 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Race page
Candidates
Josh Shapiro Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
Stacy Garrity Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena | 2026-08-21 | LV | Josh Shapiro 55.00% | Stacy Garrity 39.00% | |
| The New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 | 2026-08-21 | 760 RV | Josh Shapiro 54.00% | Stacy Garrity 37.00% | |
| The New York Times/Siena University ±3.1 | 2026-08-21 | 760 LV | Josh Shapiro 55.00% | Stacy Garrity 39.00% | |
| The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University | 2026-08-21 | 760 LV | ±4.60 | Josh Shapiro 55.00% | Stacy Garrity 39.00% |
| NY Times/Siena | 2026-08-21 | 760 LV | ±4.50 | Shapiro 55.00% | Garrity 39.00% |
| National Public Affairs (R) partisan·R | 2026-07-30 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Josh Shapiro 50.00% | Stacy Garrity 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race?
Josh Shapiro leads Stacy Garrity 53% to 39.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+13.3 margin based on 3 polls from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Siena (completed August 21, 2026), found Josh Shapiro (D) at 55% and Stacy Garrity (R) at 39%.
When is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor, potential presidential aspirant