Siena
3 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 2.7 pts | D+2.7 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-17 | NY President | D+19.0 | D+12.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-16 | NY President | D+13.0 | D+12.6 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-01 | NY President | D+14.0 | D+12.6 | 1.4 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.