Zogby Analytics
4 scored general-election polls (2014–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-26 | National President | D+2.1 | D+4.4 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-30 | CA Governor | D+18.0 | D+19.9 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-30 | FL Governor | D+7.0 | R+1.1 | 8.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-30 | NY Governor | D+21.0 | D+14.7 | 6.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.