Zia Poll
12 scored general-election polls (2016–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-15 | MI President | R+4.0 | D+2.8 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-06 | NM President | D+2.0 | D+8.2 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-01 | NM President | D+3.0 | D+8.2 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | NM President | D+5.0 | D+8.2 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NM-3 House | D+13.0 | D+24.8 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NM-2 House | R+23.0 | R+25.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NM-1 House | D+20.0 | D+30.3 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NM President | D+10.0 | D+8.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-24 | NM-3 House | D+13.0 | D+24.8 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-24 | NM-2 House | R+23.0 | R+25.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-24 | NM-1 House | D+20.0 | D+30.3 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-24 | NM President | D+5.2 | D+8.2 | 3.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.