Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research
5 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-27 | VA President | D+5.0 | D+5.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | SC President | R+4.0 | R+14.3 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-25 | SC Governor | R+10.0 | R+14.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-25 | SC Senate | R+20.6 | R+22.1 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-25 | SC Senate | R+18.3 | R+17.4 | 0.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.